Shurtan Guzar vs Qizilqum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum
Result
1:2
03/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 15
  • Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Paparyga R. , Bekmuradov F. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Kodirov G. , Pirmukhamedov A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Shukurillaev S. , Kenzhaev I. ,
  • 67', Bekmuradov F. , Rakhmatullaev S. ,
  • 67', Komilov D. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Vakhobov I. , Rakhmatullaev S. (A),
  • 73', Khasanov N. , Saidazimov K. ,
  • 81', Sadulloev S. , Sharipov D. ,
  • 84', Paparyga R. , Masovic A. ,
  • 84', Anvarov D. , Bozorov B. ,

Chances of winning


Shurtan Guzar
28.6%
Draw
28%
Qizilqum
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 27% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 24.5% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shurtan Guzar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shurtan Guzar's performance.
  • Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qizilqum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (4.04)
    3.31
    (3.38)
    2.14
    (1.81)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shurtan Guzar - Qizilqum?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shurtan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Shurtan Guzar will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga and 12).
    • Shurtan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Qizilqum is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Shurtan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Qizilqum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shurtan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Shurtan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Latest results of Qizilqum
    19.06.2025 Andijan - Qizilqum 1:1
    06.06.2025 Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch 0:3
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi20127136:162043
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK20114529:20937
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2095637:231432
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Termez Surkhon2065918:23-523
    10Sogdiana2056922:25-321
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    13Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    14Mashal Muborak20531216:38-2218
    15Buxoro20451119:32-1317
    16Shortan Guzor20251314:37-2311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga