Result
0:4
17/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 2.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
73% (239/327) | 85% (490/575) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 2.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 1.60 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 21 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 31 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
73% (239/327) | 85% (490/575) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (20/51) | 44% (22/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (33/64) | 73% (141/193) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 25% (5/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.52 | 2.20 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (22/24) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 51 |
Clearances Total |
---|
29 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.60 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.40 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 38', Franjic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Kolega T. ↓, Prekodravac M. ↑,
- 46', Bakic O. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Santini I. (Own goal),
- 62', Kavelj A. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
- 63', Pozo I. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
- 63', Stojkovic L. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 3, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Kacavenda L. (A),
- 74', Santini I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 76', Franjic B. ↓, Moharrami S. ↑,
- 76', Kulenovic S. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 76', Pjaca M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
- 78', Sucic P. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 4, Kanga W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Šibenik 12.7% | Draw 20.8% | Dinamo Zagreb 66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.47 ↓ (9.07) |
4.55 ↓ (5.27) |
1.41 ↑ (1.31) |
6.2% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 17 - 85%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 69.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.
- Recent matches Šibenik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Dinamo Zagreb is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Theophile-Catherine K.
(Inactive)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:35 (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Šibenik has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Šibenik?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
07.02.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Šibenik
3:0
01.11.2024
Šibenik
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:4
16.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Šibenik
3:0
14.05.2023
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Šibenik
4:0
05.04.2023
Šibenik
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:1
Latest results of Šibenik
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL