Result
0:4
17/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (239/327) | 85% (490/575) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (239/327) | 85% (490/575) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 73% (141/193) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (22/24) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.40 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 38', Franjic B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Kolega T. ↓, Prekodravac M. ↑,
- 46', Bakic O. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Santini I. (Own goal),
- 62', Kavelj A. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
- 63', Pozo I. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
- 63', Stojkovic L. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 3, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Kacavenda L. (A),
- 74', Santini I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 76', Franjic B. ↓, Moharrami S. ↑,
- 76', Kulenovic S. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 76', Pjaca M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
- 78', Sucic P. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 4, Kanga W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Šibenik
12.7% | Draw
20.8% | Dinamo Zagreb
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Zagreb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.47 ↓
(9.07) |
4.55 ↓
(5.27) |
1.41 ↑
(1.31) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 17 - 85%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 69.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Dinamo Zagreb (1.89) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (2.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.
- Recent matches Šibenik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Dinamo Zagreb is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Theophile-Catherine K.
(Inactive)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:35 (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Šibenik has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Šibenik?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
07.02.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Šibenik
3:0
01.11.2024
Šibenik
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:4
16.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Šibenik
3:0
14.05.2023
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Šibenik
4:0
05.04.2023
Šibenik
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:1
Latest results of Šibenik
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
