Result
04/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
Chances of winning
Sidama Coffee
40.5% | Draw
34.9% | Fasil Kenema
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sidama Coffee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sidama Coffee than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+1%)
Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.26) |
2.6 ↓
(2.77) |
3.68 ↑
(3.39) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 0.
- Recent performances by Sidama Coffee have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fasil Kenema is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sidama Coffee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sidama Coffee won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sidama Coffee won against Fasil Kenema?
Sidama Coffee has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fasil Kenema won against Sidama Coffee?
Fasil Kenema has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema were as follows:
29.10.2025
Fasil Kenema
-
Sidama Coffee
1:0
24.06.2025
Fasil Kenema
-
Sidama Coffee
1:1
30.11.2024
Sidama Coffee
-
Fasil Kenema
0:1
17.03.2024
Fasil Kenema
-
Sidama Coffee
2:2
19.10.2023
Sidama Coffee
-
Fasil Kenema
0:1
Latest results of Sidama Coffee
Latest results of Fasil Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 37 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Mechal | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Adama City | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Ethio Electric | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Hadiya Hossana | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Shire Endaselassie | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 15:16 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | St. George | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 24 |
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 24 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Welayta Dicha | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 21 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
