Siello vs Unión Adarve – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Alonso V. ,
  • 45+2', Martin J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 72', 🟥,
  • 75', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Siello
37.9%
Draw
28.7%
Unión Adarve
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 27.6% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 26.6% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Siello's performance.
  • Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Adarve might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Adarve could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Siello - Unión Adarve Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.88)
    3.44
    (3.3)
    2.95
    (2.24)
    1.3%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).
    • Siello is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Unión Adarve has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Siello
    02.11.2025 Galapagar - Siello 2:1
    19.10.2025 Siello - Leganés B 0:7
    Latest results of Unión Adarve
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C23136459:312845
    2Las Rozas23136439:231645
    3CD Mostoles23136440:271345
    4Leganes B24127544:172743
    5AD Torrejon23123837:31639
    6Pozuelo de Alarcon2399525:19636
    7Trival Valderas231031029:27233
    8Mexico FC24951032:32032
    9Galapagar23710625:32-731
    10San Sebastian Reyes B2379724:25-130
    11Union Adarve2386925:30-530
    12Villaverde San Andres2379721:26-530
    13Siello24731424:37-1324
    14Alcorcon B23661119:25-624
    15Carabanchel23581019:24-523
    16Parla23641319:38-1922
    17Tres Cantos23631421:38-1721
    18Ciudad de Madrid24471323:43-2019

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