Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 25
- Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (290/394) | 63% (188/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (290/394) | 63% (188/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 27% (20/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (82/130) | 50% (58/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/34) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Polidar M. ↓, Sobol E. ↑,
- 24', Cedidla M. 🟨,
- 32', Ghali A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Lurvink L. ⚽,
- 41', Sturm D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jawo L. ↓, Holly D. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Chramosta J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Hadas M. ↓, Slavicek F. ↑,
- 59', Ghali A. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
- 59', Yasser M. ↓, Kliment J. ↑,
- 60', Barath P. 🟨,
- 64', Zorvan F. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 64', Chramosta J. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
- 65', Beran M. 🟨,
- 73', Novak F. 🟨,
- 74', Koutny J. 🟨,
- 81', Sejk V. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
- 83', Slavicek F. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, Sip J. ⚽, Barath P. (A),
- 90+1', Cedidla M. ↓, Pantalon R. ↑,
- 90+3', Beran M. ↓, Spacil J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jablonec
41.3% | Draw
29.6% | Sigma Olomouc
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.15) |
3.19 ↑
(3.15) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
6.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Sigma will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 50%). Sigma (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Jablonec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jablonec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jablonec: Alegue A.
(Red Card)
Hanus J.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J.
(Knee Injury)
Kral J.
(Knee Injury)
Leibl M.
(Muscle Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Injury)
Rusek A.
(Yellow Cards)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Urica F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Dolznikov A.
(Injury)
Kliment J.
(Inactive)
Sylla A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Sigma Olomouc?
Jablonec has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Jablonec?
Sigma Olomouc has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jablonec - Sigma Olomouc were as follows:
05.10.2025
Sigma Olomouc
-
Jablonec
2:0
10.05.2025
Jablonec
-
Sigma Olomouc
4:0
29.03.2025
Jablonec
-
Sigma Olomouc
0:0
26.10.2024
Sigma Olomouc
-
Jablonec
0:0
14.04.2024
Sigma Olomouc
-
Jablonec
1:0
Latest results of Jablonec
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
