Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (266/376) | 71% (193/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (266/376) | 71% (193/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (19/65) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (74/130) | 49% (38/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.56 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (15/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.42 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Tomic M. ⚽, Planka D. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Dolznikov A. ⚽, Kliment J. (A),
- 38', Sigut S. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Krcik D. 🟨,
- 63', Vallo K. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
- 63', Spacil J. ↓, Langer S. ↑,
- 63', Navratil J. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
- 73', Dolznikov A. ↓, Emmanuel M. ↑,
- 73', Slama J. ↓, Hadas M. ↑,
- 79', Tomic M. ↓, Bohac S. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Planka D. ⚽, Buzek A. (A),
- 86', Bohac S. 🟨,
- 88', Breite R. ↓, Muritala Y. ↑,
- 88', Slavicek F. ↓, Chvatal J. ↑,
- 90+5', Planka D. ↓, Endl L. ↑,
- 90+7', Hysky M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sigma Olomouc
48.5% | Draw
26.6% | Karviná
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sigma Olomouc - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.76) |
3.56 ↓
(3.76) |
3.72 ↓
(4.28) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc - Karviná?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sigma (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sigma Olomouc will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sigma won 4.
- Recent matches Sigma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Karviná is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Sigma is a favorite.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Sigma won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35:19 (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sigma won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Karviná?
Sigma Olomouc has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Sigma Olomouc?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sigma Olomouc - Karviná were as follows:
02.11.2024
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:1
25.11.2023
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
0:2
29.07.2023
Sigma Olomouc
-
Karviná
3:1
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zlin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Karvina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Liberec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Teplice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Slovacko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Dukla Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Hradec Kralove | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
