Result
2:2
15/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Opocensky V. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/470) | 66% (181/274) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (388/470) | 66% (181/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/109) | 49% (42/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 3.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Ayaosi E. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Ayaosi E. ⚽, Storman R. (A),
- 18', Rusek A. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Storman R. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rusek A. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
- 46', Sip J. ↓, Krivak F. ↑,
- 46', Beran M. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Sturm D. ⚽,
- 56', Fleisman J. ↓, Labik A. ↑,
- 56', Ayaosi E. ↓, Sigut S. ↑,
- 59', Jarolim M. 🟨,
- 62', Lurvink L. 🟨,
- 75', Kacor P. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
- 76', Neuman V. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 2, Sejk V. ⚽, Krivak F. (A),
- 84', Sejk V. 🟨,
- 86', Barath P. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
- 86', Kahuan Vinicius ↓, Konate F. ↑,
- 86', Ezeh L. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sigma Olomouc
43.9% | Draw
29% | Karviná
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sigma Olomouc's form might have worsened.Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karviná's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sigma Olomouc - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.81) |
3.22 ↑
(3.19) |
3.42 ↓
(4.85) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
Sigma Olomouc will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sigma Olomouc will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 2.
- Sigma has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Karviná has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sigma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Karviná has had a series of home games.
- Sigma could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J.
(Knee Injury)
Kral J.
(Knee Injury)
Leibl M.
(Muscle Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Injury)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Urica F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Furaha J.
(Inactive)
Milic N.
(Injury)
Traore A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Sturm D.
(Inactive)
Sylla A.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Sigma will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sigma won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Karviná?
Sigma Olomouc has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Sigma Olomouc?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sigma Olomouc - Karviná were as follows:
18.10.2025
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
1:1
05.04.2025
Sigma Olomouc
-
Karviná
1:2
02.11.2024
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:1
25.11.2023
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
0:2
29.07.2023
Sigma Olomouc
-
Karviná
3:1
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 58:20 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54:30 | 24 | 54 |
| 3 | Plzen | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Liberec | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Karvina | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 | Zlin | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Pardubice | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Teplice | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 36:49 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 16:36 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
