Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 12
- Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/399) | 76% (263/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/399) | 76% (263/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (71/113) | 72% (76/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Ghali A. ⚽, Breite R. (A),
- 45+2', Traore A. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Krcik D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Hadas M. 🟨,
- 61', Dolznikov A. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
- 62', Storman R. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
- 71', Breite R. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
- 71', Mikulenka M. ↓, Sip J. ↑,
- 78', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 79', Chytry J. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
- 82', Ghali A. ↓, Navratil J. ↑,
- 83', Ayaosi E. ↓, Sigut S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
33% | Draw
35.1% | Sigma Olomouc
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karviná, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Karviná - Sigma Olomouc Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.45) |
2.85 ↓
(3.4) |
3.26 ↑
(2.62) |
-2.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Karviná - Sigma Olomouc?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sigma will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Karviná has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Karviná: Buzek A.
(Red Card)
Fiala J.
(Loan agreement)
- There will not play in Sigma: Kliment J.
(Broken calfbone)
Leibl M.
(Injury)
Michez S.
(Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Knee Injury)
Spacil J.
(Inactive)
Vrastil L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Sigut S.
(Injury)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Sigma Olomouc?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Karviná?
Sigma Olomouc has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Sigma Olomouc were as follows:
05.04.2025
Sigma Olomouc
-
Karviná
1:2
02.11.2024
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:1
25.11.2023
Karviná
-
Sigma Olomouc
0:2
29.07.2023
Sigma Olomouc
-
Karviná
3:1
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
