Sfaxien vs Simba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/01/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Taïeb Mehiri (Sfax).

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 9
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SABC Plus
Tunisia	Watania 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.78
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Goal Attempts
6	7
Shots on Goal
1	2
Shots off Goal
3	2
Blocked Shots
2	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
1	6
Shots inside the Box
2	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
24	10
Offsides
8	4
Fouls
10	24
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
22	22
Touches in the Opposition Box
3	9
Passes
73% (318/433)	63% (212/337)
Passes in the final third
43% (47/110)	52% (42/81)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	13% (2/16)
Tackles
56% (9/16)	57% (12/21)
Clearances Total
23	18
Interceptions
14	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Mpanzu E. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Ahoua J. C. ⚽, Leonel Ateba (A),
45+3', Leonel Ateba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Traore G. ↓, Winley F. ↑,
59', Cristo ↓, Hmidi B. ↑,
61', Hmidi B. 🟨,
68', Zaidi W. ↓, Habbassi A. ↑,
77', Mpanzu E. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
82', Becha Y. ↓, Ben Ali O. ↑,
82', Haj H. H. ↓, Haboubi A. ↑,
87', Kibu D. ↓, Karaboue C. ↑,
90', Leonel Ateba ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Sfaxien
37.9%

Draw
32.6%

Simba
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Simba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sfaxien - Simba Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)	3.11 ↑ (2.5)	9.4% (11.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Sfaxien - Simba?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sfaxien will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Simba will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sfaxien: 23.1% – 88.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Sfaxien has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Simba in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Sfaxien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Our prediction for today's Simba to win the game is with odds 2.92.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sfaxien won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

How many head-to-head matches has Sfaxien won against Simba?

Sfaxien has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Simba won against Sfaxien?

Simba has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sfaxien - Simba were as follows:

15.12.2024 Simba - Sfaxien 2:1

Latest results of Sfaxien

29.12.2024 Sfaxien - Espérance ST 0:1 ✺

26.12.2024 Sfaxien - Stade Tunisien 1:2 ✺

22.12.2024 Métlaoui - Sfaxien 2:1 ✺

15.12.2024 Simba - Sfaxien 2:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Bravos do Maquis - Sfaxien 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Simba

28.12.2024 Singida Black Stars - Simba 0:1 ✺

24.12.2024 Simba - JKT Tanzania 1:0 ✺

21.12.2024 Kagera Sugar - Simba 2:5 ✺

18.12.2024 Simba - KenGold 2:0 ✺

15.12.2024 Simba - Sfaxien 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

Semi-finals

1	Asante Kotoko	Kwara	1 : 0, 4 : 3
2	Bye	Wydad
3	Generation F.	Academie de FAD	3 : 5, 1 : 1
4	Bye	USM Alger
5	Bhantal	Hafia	3 : 2, 0 : 3
6	Bye	CR Belouizdad
7	USFA	Gbohloe-Su	2 : 0, 1 : 0
8	Abia Warriors	Djoliba	0 : 1, 1 : 1
9	Nigelec	Olympique de Safi	0 : 5, 0 : 1
10	Stade Tunisien	SNIM	0 : 0, 2 : 0
11	Aigle Royal	San Pedro	2 : 2, 0 : 1
12	Black Man Warrior	Coton FC	1 : 4, 0 : 0
13	Dekedda	Zamala Ruwaba	1 : 2, 1 : 0
14	Bye	Zamalek
15	Welayta Dicha	Al-Ittihad	1 : 3, 0 : 0
16	Bye	Al Masry
17	NEC FC	Nairobi United	1 : 1, 2 : 2
18	Madani	Etoile Sahel	0 : 3, 1 : 0
19	Port	KMKM	1 : 2, 1 : 2
20	EL Merriekh Bentiu	Azam	0 : 2, 0 : 2
21	Flambeau du Centre	Al Akhdar	2 : 2, 2 : 1
22	Rayon Sport	Singida Black Stars	1 : 2, 0 : 1
23	Foresters FC	15 de Agosto	0 : 4, 1 : 0
24	Bye	Stellenbosch
25	FC Libreville	ZESCO	0 : 5, 2 : 0
26	Mighty Wanderers	Jwaneng Galaxy	0 : 2, 1 : 0
27	Simba	Djabal	1 : 0
28	Kabuscorp	Kaizer Chiefs	0 : 2, 1 : 0
29	Maniema	Pamplemousses	2 : 1
30	Young Africans	Royal Leopards	0 : 5, 0 : 2
31	Ferroviario Maputo	AS Fanalamanga	2 : 1, 1 : 1
32	Primeiro de Agosto	Otoho d'Oyo	0 : 0, 1 : 2

Final

1	Asante Kotoko	Wydad
2	Academie de FAD	USM Alger
3	Hafia	CR Belouizdad
4	USFA	Djoliba
5	Olympique de Safi	Stade Tunisien
6	San Pedro	Coton FC
7	Dekedda	Zamalek
8	Al-Ittihad	Al Masry
9	Nairobi United	Etoile Sahel
10	KMKM	Azam
11	Flambeau du Centre	Singida Black Stars
12	15 de Agosto	Stellenbosch
13	ZESCO	Jwaneng Galaxy
14	TBD #27	Kaizer Chiefs
15	TBD #29	Royal Leopards
16	Ferroviario Maputo	Otoho d'Oyo