Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (464/560) | 76% (259/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (464/560) | 76% (259/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (119/163) | 61% (67/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Muja A. ⚽, Hata T. (A),
- 40', Agyekum L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Diop E. ⚽,
- 64', Vanzeir D. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
- 74', Diakite O. 🟨,
- 74', Yamamoto R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 74', Sebaoui I. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 77', Agyekum L. ↓, Ngoura S. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Matsuzawa K. ⚽,
- 85', Valy K. 🟨,
- 86', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
- 86', Adewumi O. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
- 90+2', Ngoura S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
49.9% | Draw
24.5% | Cercle Brugge
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.93) |
3.87 ↑
(3.83) |
3.7 ↑
(3.61) |
5.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Sint-Truidense (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cercle Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sint-Truidense could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Erick Nunes
(Coach's decision)
Kouassi K.
(Eye injury)
Nazinho
(Yellow Cards)
Ouattara A. K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Musliu V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Herrmann C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Cercle Brugge?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Sint-Truidense?
Cercle Brugge has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
29.08.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
26.04.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Sint-Truidense
3:1
12.04.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Cercle Brugge
3:1
27.12.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
04.12.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Sint-Truidense
0:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
