Result
0:2
31/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 23
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/436) | 85% (410/483) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/436) | 85% (410/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (96/129) | 68% (75/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Camara E. 🟨,
- 37', Sebaoui I. 🟨,
- 40', Muja A. 🟥,
- 41', Bernier A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Camara E. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 56', Khalifi Y. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Titraoui Y. ⚽, Khalifi Y. (A),
- 67', Bernier A. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 67', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 73', Ito R. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 79', Sissako A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 81', Goto K. 🟨,
- 82', Guiagon P. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
- 82', Nzita M. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 84', Goto K. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 2, Romsaas J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
42.2% | Draw
27.2% | Charleroi
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sint-Truidense's form might have worsened.Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleroi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charleroi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sint-Truidense - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.87) |
3.47 ↓
(3.71) |
3.09 ↓
(3.89) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Charleroi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Sint-Truidense (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 50%). Charleroi (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 1.
- Sint-Truidense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Charleroi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Charleroi?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Sint-Truidense?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Charleroi were as follows:
03.08.2025
Charleroi
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
21.12.2024
Charleroi
-
Sint-Truidense
2:1
03.08.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Charleroi
1:4
23.12.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Charleroi
1:0
03.09.2023
Charleroi
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
