Result
1:1
03/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 2
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
70% (178/255) | 84% (348/415) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 1.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.72 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
70% (178/255) | 84% (348/415) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (22/55) | 56% (24/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
44% (32/72) | 70% (96/138) |
Crosses |
---|
0% (0/5) | 25% (6/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.26 | 1.15 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (13/21) | 45% (5/11) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
37 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.09 | 1.72 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.09 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Sow M. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Ito R. (Pen),
- 39', Mbenza I. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Stulic N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Sissako A. 🟨,
- 57', Sissako A. ↓, Diriken A. ↑,
- 57', Mbenza I. ↓, Guiagon P. ↑,
- 57', Colassin A. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 59', Stulic N. 🟨,
- 66', Stulic N. 🟨,
- 75', Titraoui Y. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
- 78', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 80', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Taniguchi S. ↑,
- 80', Van Helden R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 87', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 87', Guiagon P. ↓, Descotte A. ↑,
- 87', Sebaoui I. ↓, Mbalanda J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charleroi 46.5% | Draw 26.7% | Sint-Truidense 26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Charleroi - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.06) |
3.56 ↓ (3.7) |
3.52 ↑ (3.44) |
5.4% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.
- Charleroi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sint-Truidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sint-Truidense has had a series of away games.
- Charleroi could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Andreou S.
(Inactive)
Dabbagh O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Lapoussin L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Sint-Truidense?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Charleroi?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
21.12.2024
Charleroi
-
Sint-Truidense
2:1
03.08.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Charleroi
1:4
23.12.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Charleroi
1:0
03.09.2023
Charleroi
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
26.02.2023
Charleroi
-
Sint-Truidense
1:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Royale Union SG | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
3 | St. Liege | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
4 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Anderlecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Antwerp | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
8 | Genk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Waregem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Westerlo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
12 | RAAL La Louviere | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Charleroi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Dender | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Leuven | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )