Result
1:4
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (290/357) | 84% (463/554) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (290/357) | 84% (463/554) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (73/100) | 72% (128/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.82 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 1 - 0, Mbamba N. ⚽,
- 20', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 1, Sebaoui I. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Ito R. ⚽, Sissako A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Mbamba N. 🟨,
- 62', Viltard M. 🟨,
- 65', Mbamba N. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 65', Marijnissen L. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 3, Yamamoto R. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
- 68', Jukleroed S. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
- 75', Ito R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 77', Viltard M. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 77', Cools K. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 86', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 4, Muja A. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
- 90', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 90', Sissako A. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 90', Goto K. ↓, Delpupo I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
27.9% | Draw
27.1% | Sint-Truidense
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Dender EH - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.85) |
3.52 ↑
(3.51) |
2.09 ↓
(2.32) |
5.5%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Sint-Truidense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sint-Truidense (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Sint-Truidense (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Sint-Truidense (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sint-Truidense will win
(21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sint-Truidense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- Recent form of Dender EH has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sint-Truidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Verrips M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Musliu V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Dietsch G.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Sint-Truidense?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Dender EH?
Sint-Truidense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
08.08.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Dender EH
2:0
08.02.2025
Dender EH
-
Sint-Truidense
2:1
17.08.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Dender EH
3:3
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
