KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen).

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.26	0.61
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
5	11
Shots on Goal
1	3
Shots off Goal
2	6
Blocked Shots
2	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	0
Shots inside the Box
2	5
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
Free Kicks
7	13
Offsides
2	2
Fouls
13	7
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
29	26
Touches in the Opposition Box
10	16
Passes
81% (364/447)	83% (397/477)
Passes in the final third
69% (85/124)	66% (90/136)
Crosses
0% (0/7)	24% (4/17)
Tackles
78% (14/18)	84% (16/19)
Clearances Total
31	24
Interceptions
15	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Janssens W. (Own goal),
36', Lapoussin L. 🟨,
39', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Foulon D. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
46', Ito R. ↓, Van Helden R. ↑,
65', Storm N. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
65', Hairemans G. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
68', Mrabti K. 🟨,
73', Janssens W. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
73', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
83', Schoofs R. ↓, Kiki ↑,
83', Raman B. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
83', Godeau B. ↓, Musliu V. ↑,
83', Brahimi B. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
88', Ngoy J. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Ferrari A. ⚽, Ogawa R. (A),

Chances of winning

KV Mechelen
50.5%

Draw
25.1%

Sint-Truidense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

20.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	3.75 ↓ (3.79)	3.75 ↑ (3.52)	6% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense?

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 0.
The competitors look crappy now.
In this match Mechelen is a favorite.
There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J. (Hip Injury) Van den Eynden B. (Muscle Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J. (Injury) Delpupo I. (Ankle Injury) Zahiroleslam K. (Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22:34 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Sint-Truidense?

KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against KV Mechelen?

Sint-Truidense has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense were as follows:

08.11.2024 Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen 2:1

12.05.2024 Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen 2:1

05.04.2024 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 2:3

03.12.2023 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 0:2

17.09.2023 Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen 2:0

Latest results of KV Mechelen

16.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 0:1 ✺

07.02.2025 KV Mechelen - Gent 3:3 ✺

31.01.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 1:0 ✺

26.01.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 4:1 ✺

18.01.2025 KV Mechelen - Genk 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Sint-Truidense

15.02.2025 Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge 2:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Dender EH - Sint-Truidense 2:1 ✺

02.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1 ✺

24.01.2025 Sint-Truidense - Royal Antwerp 1:1 ✺

19.01.2025 Sint-Truidense - Standard Liège 1:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza