KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense
Result
1:1
21/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
  • Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.61
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
511
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
40
Shots inside the Box
25
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Free Kicks
713
Offsides
22
Fouls
137
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2926
Touches in the Opposition Box
1016
Passes
81% (364/447)83% (397/477)
Passes in the final third
69% (85/124)66% (90/136)
Crosses
0% (0/7)24% (4/17)
Tackles
78% (14/18)84% (16/19)
Clearances Total
3124
Interceptions
159

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Janssens W. (Own goal),
  • 36', Lapoussin L. 🟨,
  • 39', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Foulon D. , Antonio B. ,
  • 46', Ito R. , Van Helden R. ,
  • 65', Storm N. , Mrabti K. ,
  • 65', Hairemans G. , Ouattara A. ,
  • 68', Mrabti K. 🟨,
  • 73', Janssens W. , Patris L. ,
  • 73', Vanwesemael R. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 83', Schoofs R. , Kiki ,
  • 83', Raman B. , Ngoy J. ,
  • 83', Godeau B. , Musliu V. ,
  • 83', Brahimi B. , Ferrari A. ,
  • 88', Ngoy J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Ferrari A. , Ogawa R. (A),

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
50.5%
Draw
25.1%
Sint-Truidense
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 25% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 20.4% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.98)
    3.75
    (3.79)
    3.75
    (3.52)
    6%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense?
  • Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 0.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • In this match Mechelen is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J. (Hip Injury) Van den Eynden B. (Muscle Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
    • There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J. (Injury) Delpupo I. (Ankle Injury) Zahiroleslam K. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22:34 (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
    08.11.2024 Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen 2:1
    12.05.2024 Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen 2:1
    05.04.2024 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 2:3
    03.12.2023 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 0:2
    17.09.2023 Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen 2:0
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    07.02.2025 KV Mechelen - Gent 3:3
    26.01.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 4:1
    18.01.2025 KV Mechelen - Genk 1:2
    Latest results of Sint-Truidense
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Antwerp10101:101
    2Royale Union SG10101:101
    3Leuven00000:000
    4Anderlecht00000:000
    5Cercle Brugge KSV00000:000
    6Charleroi00000:000
    7Club Brugge KV00000:000
    8Dender00000:000
    9Genk00000:000
    10Gent00000:000
    11KV Mechelen00000:000
    12St. Liege00000:000
    13St. Truiden00000:000
    14Waregem00000:000
    15Westerlo00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere00000:000

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