Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 19
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (382/453) | 84% (417/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (382/453) | 84% (417/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (62/86) | 69% (72/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Van Helden R. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
- 25', Konate M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Bafdili B. ↓, Ozdemir H. ↑,
- 71', Muja A. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 83', Salifou D. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
- 84', Ito R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 84', Diouf G. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 86', Ferrari A. 🟨,
- 89', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hammar F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
56% | Draw
23.7% | KV Mechelen
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sint-Truidense's performance.KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sint-Truidense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KV Mechelen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.98) |
4.01 ↑
(3.65) |
4.65 ↑
(3.55) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Mechelen (4.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mechelen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mechelen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sint-Truidense has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sint-Truidense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Hata T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Antonio B.
(International duty)
De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Teague R.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Halhal R.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against KV Mechelen?
Sint-Truidense has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Sint-Truidense?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen were as follows:
04.10.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
1:3
21.02.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
08.11.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
12.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
05.04.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
2:3
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
