Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 10
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/385) | 80% (309/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 3.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 3.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (306/385) | 80% (309/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (76/97) | 69% (102/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.89 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Van Helden R. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
- 40', 1 - 0, Taniguchi S. (Own goal),
- 45+1', Ferrari A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 64', Halhal R. 🟨,
- 69', Servais M. 🟨,
- 70', Bafdili B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 70', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 70', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 70', Hata T. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Muja A. (Pen),
- 74', Ferrari A. 🟨,
- 81', Marsa J. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
- 81', van Brederode M. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Goto K. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
- 90+3', Hammar F. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Ferrari A. ⚽, Jukleroed S. (A),
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
41.4% | Draw
27% | Sint-Truidense
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.05) |
3.5 ↓
(3.8) |
3.05
(3.05) |
5.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 56% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 0.
- Mechelen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mechelen might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Van Helden R.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Sint-Truidense?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against KV Mechelen?
Sint-Truidense has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
21.02.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
08.11.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
12.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
05.04.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
2:3
03.12.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
0:2
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
