Result
1:1
21/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/447) | 83% (397/477) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/124) | 66% (90/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 24% (4/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 84% (16/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Janssens W. (Own goal),
- 36', Lapoussin L. 🟨,
- 39', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Foulon D. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 46', Ito R. ↓, Van Helden R. ↑,
- 65', Storm N. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
- 65', Hairemans G. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 68', Mrabti K. 🟨,
- 73', Janssens W. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 73', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 83', Schoofs R. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 83', Raman B. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
- 83', Godeau B. ↓, Musliu V. ↑,
- 83', Brahimi B. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 88', Ngoy J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Ferrari A. ⚽, Ogawa R. (A),
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
50.5% | Draw
25.1% | Sint-Truidense
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.98) |
3.75 ↓
(3.79) |
3.75 ↑
(3.52) |
6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 0.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- In this match Mechelen is a favorite.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J.
(Hip Injury)
Van den Eynden B.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J.
(Injury)
Delpupo I.
(Ankle Injury)
Zahiroleslam K.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22:34 (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Sint-Truidense?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against KV Mechelen?
Sint-Truidense has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
08.11.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
12.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
05.04.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
2:3
03.12.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Sint-Truidense
0:2
17.09.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
KV Mechelen
2:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Genk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Leuven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Gent | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Waregem | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Dender | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
