Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Sint-Truidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
  • Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.71
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
136
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
20
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1316
Offsides
13
Fouls
1613
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2122
Touches in the Opposition Box
2112
Passes
83% (366/440)73% (271/372)
Passes in the final third
70% (75/107)44% (38/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)23% (3/13)
Tackles
67% (12/18)74% (14/19)
Clearances Total
3517
Interceptions
1320

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Osifo M. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Schrijvers S. ,
  • 20', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
  • 30', Musliu V. 🟨,
  • 32', Van Helden R. 🟨,
  • 38', Ferrari A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Bertaccini A. , Vanwesemael R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Ferrari A. , Zahiroleslam K. ,
  • 56', Ito R. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 60', Brahimi B. 🟨,
  • 60', Van Helden R. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Gil O. , Schrijvers S. (A),
  • 68', Osifo M. , Vlietinck T. ,
  • 68', Zeefuik L. , Ikwuemesi C. ,
  • 70', Vanwesemael R. , Patris L. ,
  • 70', Godeau B. , Janssens W. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Bertaccini A. , Fujita J. (A),
  • 80', 3 - 2, Schrijvers S. (Pen),
  • 86', Gil O. 🟨,
  • 90', Verlinden T. , Mijatovic J. ,
  • 90', Ogawa R. , Komori H. ,
  • 90+4', Schrijvers S. , Maziz Y. ,
  • 90+4', Mitrovic S. , George W. ,

Chances of winning


Oud-Heverlee Leuven
35.7%
Draw
30.7%
Sint-Truidense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 28% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.1% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oud-Heverlee Leuven's form might have worsened.
  • Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.28)
    3.11
    (3.37)
    2.82
    (3.08)
    5.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 23.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leuven won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Sint-Truidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Leuven: Balikwisha W. (Red Card) Maertens M. (Muscle Injury) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J. (Injury) Delpupo I. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Leuven won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:31 (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leuven won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1
    17.05.2024 Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
    20.04.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense 1:0
    09.12.2023 Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
    22.10.2023 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense 4:0
    Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
    Latest results of Sint-Truidense
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Liege11002:023
    2Antwerp10101:101
    3KV Mechelen10101:101
    4Waregem10101:101
    5Royale Union SG10101:101
    6Cercle Brugge KSV10100:001
    7Dender10100:001
    8Leuven00000:000
    9Anderlecht00000:000
    10Charleroi00000:000
    11Club Brugge KV00000:000
    12Genk00000:000
    13Gent00000:000
    14St. Truiden00000:000
    15Westerlo00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere10010:2-20

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