Result
16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/440) | 73% (271/372) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (75/107) | 44% (38/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 74% (14/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Osifo M. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Schrijvers S. ⚽,
- 20', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
- 30', Musliu V. 🟨,
- 32', Van Helden R. 🟨,
- 38', Ferrari A. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Vanwesemael R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Ferrari A. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
- 56', Ito R. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 60', Brahimi B. 🟨,
- 60', Van Helden R. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 1, Gil O. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
- 68', Osifo M. ↓, Vlietinck T. ↑,
- 68', Zeefuik L. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
- 70', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 70', Godeau B. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
- 80', 3 - 2, Schrijvers S. (Pen),
- 86', Gil O. 🟨,
- 90', Verlinden T. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
- 90', Ogawa R. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
- 90+4', Schrijvers S. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 90+4', Mitrovic S. ↓, George W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
35.7% | Draw
30.7% | Sint-Truidense
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oud-Heverlee Leuven's form might have worsened.Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.28) |
3.11 ↓
(3.37) |
2.82 ↓
(3.08) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 23.8% – 76.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leuven won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Sint-Truidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Leuven: Balikwisha W.
(Red Card)
Maertens M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J.
(Injury)
Delpupo I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Leuven won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:31 (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Leuven won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Sint-Truidense?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Sint-Truidense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
15.09.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:1
17.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
20.04.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Sint-Truidense
1:0
09.12.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
22.10.2023
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Sint-Truidense
4:0
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | St. Truiden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Waregem | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
