Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 15
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (305/395) | 82% (320/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (305/395) | 82% (320/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (37/72) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (59/110) | 70% (78/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Ito R. (Pen),
- 28', Hata T. ↓, Musliu V. ↑,
- 40', Pletinckx E. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Sebaoui I. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
- 45+4', 1 - 2, Verlinden T. ⚽, Lakomy L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 51', Verlinden T. 🟨,
- 61', Lakomy L. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 73', Verlinden T. ↓, Teklab H. ↑,
- 73', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
- 77', Ito R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 77', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 81', Matsuzawa K. 🟨,
- 85', Mijatovic J. 🟨,
- 86', Verstraete B. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 89', Goto K. 🟨,
- 89', Sebaoui I. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
- 89', Goto K. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
36.1% | Draw
29.3% | Sint-Truidense
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.45) |
3.24 ↓
(3.3) |
2.77 ↓
(2.82) |
4.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Sint-Truidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Musliu V.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Maziz Y.
(Injury)
Schrijvers S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Vanwesemael R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:11. (average 2.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Sint-Truidense?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Sint-Truidense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
15.09.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:1
17.05.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
20.04.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Sint-Truidense
1:0
09.12.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
22.10.2023
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Sint-Truidense
4:0
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 24 |
| 7 | Gent | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Genk | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Waregem | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Leuven | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:27 | -9 | 16 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Dender | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
