Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/316) | 82% (409/497) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/316) | 82% (409/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 55% (37/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (66/128) | 74% (108/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Okou Y. 🟨,
- 18', Taniguchi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', Musliu V. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Fall P. M. ⚽, Liongola J. (A),
- 63', 1 - 1, Taniguchi S. ⚽, Muja A. (A),
- 70', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 72', Benavides D. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
- 77', Ito J. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
- 81', Afriyie J. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
- 88', Ito R. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Diouf O. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
- 90+3', Merlen R. ↓, Mbe Soh L. ↑,
- 90+4', Liongola J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RAAL La Louvière
35.7% | Draw
28.4% | Sint-Truidense
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RAAL La Louvière's performance.Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sint-Truidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RAAL La Louvière that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↓
(3.25) |
3.35 ↑
(3.28) |
2.64 ↑
(2.19) |
5.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - La Louvière (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, La Louvière has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, La Louvière has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Yamamoto R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in La Louvière: Faye W.
(Face Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Sint-Truidense?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against RAAL La Louvière?
Sint-Truidense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
RAAL La Louvière
2:1
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
