Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/316) | 82% (409/497) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/316) | 82% (409/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 55% (37/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (66/128) | 74% (108/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Okou Y. 🟨,
- 18', Taniguchi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', Musliu V. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Fall P. M. ⚽, Liongola J. (A),
- 63', 1 - 1, Taniguchi S. ⚽, Muja A. (A),
- 70', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 72', Benavides D. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
- 77', Ito J. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
- 81', Afriyie J. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
- 88', Ito R. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Diouf O. ⚽, Goto K. (A),
- 90+3', Merlen R. ↓, Mbe Soh L. ↑,
- 90+4', Liongola J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RAAL La Louvière 35.7% | Draw 28.4% | Sint-Truidense 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.66 ↓ (3.25) |
3.35 ↑ (3.28) |
2.64 ↑ (2.19) |
5.3% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - La Louvière (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, La Louvière has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, La Louvière has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Yamamoto R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in La Louvière: Faye W.
(Face Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Sint-Truidense?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against RAAL La Louvière?
Sint-Truidense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
17.08.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
RAAL La Louvière
2:1
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40:13 | 27 | 52 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 45:29 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 36 |
| 6 | Gent | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 33 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Genk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 28:26 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Waregem | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | Leuven | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Dender | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )