Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 20
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (197/297) | 88% (585/665) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (197/297) | 88% (585/665) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 70% (44/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (44/80) | 81% (166/205) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Yamamoto R. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Nielsen C. ⚽, Nkada T. (A),
- 25', Nkada T. 🟥,
- 27', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Goto K. ⚽, Sebaoui I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 46', Karamoko I. ↓, Abid A. ↑,
- 61', Van Helden R. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Goto K. ⚽, Hata T. (A),
- 65', Mohr T. ↓, Bolingoli B. ↑,
- 65', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Assengue S. ↑,
- 79', Yamamoto R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 79', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Mitongo R. ↑,
- 79', Jukleroed S. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
- 80', Ilaimaharitra M. 🟨,
- 87', Nielsen C. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
- 87', Goto K. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Standard Liège
26.9% | Draw
28.6% | Sint-Truidense
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Standard Liège's form might have worsened.Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sint-Truidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Standard Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(2.82) |
3.29 ↓
(3.4) |
2.13 ↓
(2.4) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 41.1% – 82.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Sint-Truidense (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sint-Truidense (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Standard has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
Dierckx D.
(Shoulder Injury)
El Hankouri M.
(Muscle Injury)
Epolo M.
(International duty)
Fossey M.
(Muscle Injury)
Homawoo J.
(Injury)
Sahabo H.
(Muscle Injury)
Said R.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Sint-Truidense?
Standard Liège has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Standard Liège?
Sint-Truidense has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
09.11.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Standard Liège
1:0
19.01.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Standard Liège
1:2
02.11.2024
Standard Liège
-
Sint-Truidense
2:1
27.04.2024
Standard Liège
-
Sint-Truidense
1:1
12.04.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Standard Liège
3:3
Latest results of Standard Liège
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 38 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 29 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 25 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
