Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 15
- Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (375/425) | 87% (406/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (375/425) | 87% (406/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 77% (50/65) | 67% (39/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (55/81) | 72% (89/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (18/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Mai L. 🟨,
- 27', Kronig J. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Cimignani Y. ⚽,
- 33', Hajrizi K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Nivokazi R. (Pen),
- 61', Dos Santos D. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Chipperfield L. ⚽,
- 72', Chipperfield L. ↓, Berdayes T. ↑,
- 72', Rrudhani D. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,
- 72', Chouaref Y. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
- 75', Mahou H. ↓, Koutsias G. ↑,
- 75', Doumbia O. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
- 81', Cimignani Y. ↓, Steffen R. ↑,
- 81', Behrens K. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
- 82', Nivokazi R. ↓, Bouchlarhem T. ↑,
- 88', Kabacalman A. ↓, Sow N. ↑,
- 90+5', Marques M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugano
44.2% | Draw
28.6% | Sion
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lugano - Sion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.81) |
3.33 ↓
(3.62) |
3.53 ↓
(4.39) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lugano - Sion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 50%). Sion (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Lugano will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lugano might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Foot Injury)
Bottani M.
(Health problems)
Steffen R.
(Ribs Injury)
von Ballmoos D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sion: Kololli B.
(Injury)
Llukes A.
(International duty)
Shala A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Mai L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sion: Sow N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Sion?
Lugano has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sion won against Lugano?
Sion has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Sion were as follows:
03.08.2025
Sion
-
Lugano
4:0
09.03.2025
Sion
-
Lugano
2:1
01.02.2025
Lugano
-
Sion
3:2
22.09.2024
Sion
-
Lugano
0:0
27.04.2024
Sion
-
Lugano
0:2
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48:26 | 22 | 49 |
| 2 | Lugano | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Basel | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:26 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | Sion | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 43:45 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | Lausanne | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Servette | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 38:43 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Zurich | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 32:43 | -11 | 25 |
| 10 | Luzern | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 40:43 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 26:57 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
