Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Referee: San F. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (393/455) | 81% (317/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (393/455) | 81% (317/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (37/54) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (61/87) | 70% (83/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 41% (9/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Kabacalman A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12', 1 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Koutsias G. 🟨,
- 52', Surdez F. 🟨,
- 58', Koutsias G. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
- 58', Kendouci A. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 59', Lukembila J. ↓, Chipperfield L. ↑,
- 59', Surdez F. ↓, Chouaref Y. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Behrens K. ⚽,
- 73', Kabacalman A. ↓, Llukes A. ↑,
- 73', Berdayes T. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
- 73', Nivokazi R. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
- 78', Lavanchy N. 🟨,
- 82', Steffen R. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
- 90+2', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cimignani Y. ↓, Carbone ↑,
Chances of winning
Lugano
44.6% | Draw
27.7% | Sion
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Sion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sion than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Lugano - Sion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.99) |
3.4 ↓
(3.53) |
3.36 ↓
(3.41) |
6.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lugano - Sion?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sion will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sion (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sion (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lugano could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Cassano C.
(Inactive)
Delcroix H.
(Injury)
Marques M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sion: Rrudhani D.
(Injury)
Shala A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Sion?
Lugano has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sion won against Lugano?
Sion has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Sion were as follows:
29.11.2025
Lugano
-
Sion
1:1
03.08.2025
Sion
-
Lugano
4:0
09.03.2025
Sion
-
Lugano
2:1
01.02.2025
Lugano
-
Sion
3:2
22.09.2024
Sion
-
Lugano
0:0
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
