Sirens vs Fgura United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
15/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
85
Total shots
85
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
10
Corner kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Schembri Wismayer A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Nonato T. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Buhagiar S. ,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Zammit T. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ,

Chances of winning


Sirens
34.9%
Draw
25.7%
Fgura United
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 24.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 23.3% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sirens's form might have worsened.
  • Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sirens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fgura United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sirens - Fgura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.2)
    3.5
    (3.7)
    2.28
    (2.55)
    11.3%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fgura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sirens has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sirens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sirens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sirens - Fgura United were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Fgura United - Sirens 1:5
    05.04.2025 Fgura United - Sirens 5:1
    09.02.2025 Sirens - Fgura United 1:2
    Latest results of Sirens
    07.03.2026 St. Andrews - Sirens 0:3
    01.03.2026 Swieqi United - Sirens 2:0
    22.02.2026 Melita - Sirens 2:0
    15.02.2026 Mtarfa - Sirens 0:8
    07.02.2026 Sirens - Żurrieq 1:0
    Latest results of Fgura United
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1995538:261232
    2Gudja1968523:21226
    3Santa Lucia1958631:29223
    4Zurrieq19631030:32-221
    5Vittoriosa1946923:29-618
    6Marsa19361025:35-1013
    7Zebbug19341219:43-2413
    8Mtarfa1911179:83-74-2

          Relegation