Mġarr United vs Sirens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 10

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
89
Corner Kicks
104
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
104

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Nonato T. ,
  • 16', 0 - 2, Zammit T. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 2, Debono J. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Akadom H. ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Cristhyan Noto ,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
30.9%
Draw
26.6%
Sirens
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 24.2% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 24.2% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mġarr United's form might have worsened.
  • Sirens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mġarr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Mġarr United - Sirens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.4)
    3.38
    (3.75)
    2.12
    (2.38)
    11.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mġarr United - Sirens?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sirens (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Mġarr United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sirens has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Sirens were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Sirens - Mġarr United 4:4
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    Latest results of Sirens
    14.12.2025 Sirens - Swieqi United 1:1
    06.12.2025 Sirens - Santa Lucia 1:2
    30.11.2025 St. Andrews - Sirens 0:4
    22.11.2025 Sirens - Melita 2:1
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation