Sirens vs Mtarfa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Challenge League Sirens - Mtarfa
Result
1:1
02/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
106
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
53
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Carlos Chaba (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Matheus Freitas , Hassan J. ,
  • 60', Falzon D. , Tonna R. ,
  • 63', Muscat K. 🟨,
  • 67', Gilberto , Nonato T. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Agbakwuru J. C. ,
  • 74', Camilleri G. , Agius M. ,
  • 79', Azzopardi A. , Azzopardi Z. ,
  • 80', Muscat K. , Elfarsi S. ,

Chances of winning


Sirens
55.2%
Draw
24.2%
Mtarfa
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.6% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 15% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sirens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sirens's form might have worsened.
  • Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirens than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Sirens - Mtarfa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.45)
    3.71
    (4.2)
    4.36
    (5.7)
    11.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Sirens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mtarfa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Mtarfa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sirens is certain favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sirens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sirens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sirens - Mtarfa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Sirens - Mtarfa 3:1
    Latest results of Sirens
    23.02.2025 Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens 1:3
    16.02.2025 Lija Athletic - Sirens 1:2
    09.02.2025 Sirens - Fgura United 1:2
    01.02.2025 Tarxien Rainbows - Sirens 2:1
    26.01.2025 Sirens - Senglea Athletic 1:2
    Latest results of Mtarfa
    27.02.2025 Mġarr United - Mtarfa 1:0
    22.02.2025 Mtarfa - Lija Athletic 2:1
    16.02.2025 Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa 3:2
    09.02.2025 Gudja United - Mtarfa 3:1
    02.02.2025 Mtarfa - Valletta 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1MelitaNaxxar0 : 1