Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 22
- Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/342) | 83% (454/546) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/342) | 83% (454/546) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (12/51) | 45% (34/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (45/86) | 66% (100/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Saletros A. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Nordfeldt K. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Thychosen M. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Flataker E. ⚽, Saletros A. (A),
- 60', Ayari T. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 60', Csongvai A. ↓, Besirovic D. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Ali A. ⚽,
- 72', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 72', Lindberg M. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 74', Flataker E. ↓, Filling K. ↑,
- 74', Celina B. ↓, Geiger Y. ↑,
- 83', Heier M. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
- 89', Sandberg S. ↓, Sjogrell H. ↑,
Chances of winning
AIK
52.2% | Draw
25.7% | Sirius
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AIK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
AIK - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.77) |
3.62 ↓
(3.77) |
4.27 ↓
(4.45) |
6.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AIK - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
AIK will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AIK will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 2.
- In recent matches, AIK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sirius is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sirius may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AIK is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in AIK: Andersson V.
(Inactive)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Filling K.
(Inactive)
Hove J.
(Inactive)
Redkin A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Carlsson T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AIK won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Sirius?
AIK has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against AIK?
Sirius has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - Sirius were as follows:
19.06.2025
AIK
-
Sirius
1:2
01.06.2025
Sirius
-
AIK
3:1
25.09.2024
Sirius
-
AIK
0:1
11.05.2024
AIK
-
Sirius
1:3
31.07.2023
Sirius
-
AIK
0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 42:16 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | AIK | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | GAIS | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 38 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Hacken | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:43 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Sirius | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
| 14 | Oster | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
