Result
3:0
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 23
- Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/434) | 80% (359/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (354/434) | 80% (359/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (48/81) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/108) | 67% (114/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Castegren H. (A),
- 27', Milovanovic W. ↓, Gustafsson F. ↑,
- 45+3', Holmen K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Holmen K. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
- 62', Becirovic E. ↓, Niklasson R. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Persson J. ⚽, Krusnell O. (A),
- 79', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 79', Diabate I. ↓, Hedlund L. ↑,
- 80', Gustafsson F. ↓, Fagerjord J. ↑,
- 90', Ure R. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 90', Walta L. ↓, Nartey M. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Svensson V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sirius
55.7% | Draw
26.2% | GAIS
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GAIS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-20.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+20.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GAIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sirius - GAIS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.7) |
5.63 ↑
(3.53) |
8.64 ↑
(2.45) |
-29.8%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sirius - GAIS?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). GAIS will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1.
- Sirius is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- GAIS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Sirius has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in GAIS: Niklasson R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sirius: Carlsson T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against GAIS?
Sirius has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GAIS won against Sirius?
GAIS has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - GAIS were as follows:
24.05.2025
GAIS
-
Sirius
2:1
10.11.2024
GAIS
-
Sirius
2:1
13.07.2024
Sirius
-
GAIS
3:1
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
