Sirius vs GAIS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Sirius - GAIS
Result
3:0
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 23
  • Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.700.29
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (354/434)80% (359/449)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.700.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.270.09
Total shots
177
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
158
Passes
82% (354/434)80% (359/449)
Long passes
59% (48/81)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
69% (75/108)67% (114/169)
Crosses
27% (6/22)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.49
Throw-ins
2928
Fouls
915
Tackles
68% (15/22)71% (17/24)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
3719
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.092.27
Goals prevented
0.09-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Bjerkebo I. , Castegren H. (A),
  • 27', Milovanovic W. , Gustafsson F. ,
  • 45+3', Holmen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Holmen K. , Lindberg J. ,
  • 62', Becirovic E. , Niklasson R. ,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Persson J. , Krusnell O. (A),
  • 79', Bjerkebo I. , Svensson V. ,
  • 79', Diabate I. , Hedlund L. ,
  • 80', Gustafsson F. , Fagerjord J. ,
  • 90', Ure R. , Milleskog N. ,
  • 90', Walta L. , Nartey M. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Svensson V. ,

Chances of winning


Sirius
55.7%
Draw
26.2%
GAIS
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 26.7% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 26.6% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.
  • GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GAIS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-20.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GAIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sirius - GAIS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.7)
    5.63
    (3.53)
    8.64
    (2.45)
    -29.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sirius - GAIS?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). GAIS will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1.
    • Sirius is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • GAIS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Sirius has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in GAIS: Niklasson R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sirius: Carlsson T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - GAIS were as follows:
    24.05.2025 GAIS - Sirius 2:1
    10.11.2024 GAIS - Sirius 2:1
    13.07.2024 Sirius - GAIS 3:1
    Latest results of Sirius
    31.08.2025 AIK - Sirius 2:1
    24.08.2025 Sirius - Hammarby 3:1
    20.08.2025 Piteå - Sirius 0:5
    17.08.2025 Brommapojkarna - Sirius 2:4
    09.08.2025 Halmstad - Sirius 0:1
    Latest results of GAIS
    31.08.2025 GAIS - Häcken 2:1
    25.08.2025 GAIS - Mjällby 0:2
    17.08.2025 Hammarby - GAIS 1:2
    11.08.2025 GAIS - IFK Göteborg 0:1
    02.08.2025 Värnamo - GAIS 2:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby24176144:172757
    2Hammarby24154549:242549
    3AIK24127531:23843
    4GAIS24118535:231241
    5Goteborg24132933:29441
    6Malmo FF24109536:211539
    7Djurgarden24108632:23938
    8Elfsborg24114939:36337
    9Brommapojkarna24921337:37029
    10Norrkoping24851137:45-829
    11Sirius24751236:39-326
    12Hacken24751233:44-1126
    13Halmstad24741320:44-2425
    14Oster24571222:35-1322
    15Degerfors24541524:46-2219
    16Varnamo24261627:49-2212

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