Result
5:1
05/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 26
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (287/341) | 89% (432/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (287/341) | 89% (432/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 49% (18/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/76) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Busanello (Own goal),
- 23', 2 - 0, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Ure R. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Stryger J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', Gudjohnsen D. T. 🟨,
- 65', 3 - 1, Ure R. ⚽, Walta L. (A),
- 68', 4 - 1, Walta L. ⚽, Krusnell O. (A),
- 69', Skogmar A. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
- 69', Ekong E. ↓, Berg O. ↑,
- 77', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 78', 5 - 1, Walta L. (Pen),
- 83', Rosengren O. ↓, Lewicki O. ↑,
- 84', Busanello ↓, Olsson M. ↑,
- 87', Ure R. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 88', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
- 88', Lindberg M. ↓, Nartey M. ↑,
- 90+1', Krusnell O. ↓, Vikman A. ↑,
- 90+1', Heier M. ↓, Widgren D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sirius
56.1% | Draw
26.2% | Malmö
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-32%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+34.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sirius - Malmö Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.8) |
5.57 ↑
(3.9) |
8.67 ↑
(1.8) |
-29.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sirius - Malmö?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Malmö will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sirius may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Malmö: Ali T.
(Groin Injury)
Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Frejd Palsson M.
(Inactive)
Haksabanovic S.
(Personal Reasons)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Injury)
Jansson P.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:54. (average 1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 1.3:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Malmö?
Sirius has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Sirius?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Malmö were as follows:
18.04.2025
Malmö
-
Sirius
1:1
27.07.2024
Malmö
-
Sirius
0:1
19.07.2024
Sirius
-
Malmö
3:4
28.08.2023
Sirius
-
Malmö
1:3
01.07.2023
Malmö
-
Sirius
3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
