Result
1:1
24/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/443) | 63% (134/214) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/443) | 63% (134/214) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (141/189) | 47% (25/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (10/58) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Kilama G. ⚽,
- 10', Okoronkwo J. 🟨,
- 42', Matur O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Boke T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 55', Yildirim M. 🟨,
- 64', Saglam G. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
- 65', Ethemi V. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
- 65', Luan ↓, Malle A. ↑,
- 65', Charisis C. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
- 70', Aksoy E. 🟨,
- 81', Aksoy E. 🟨,
- 83', Avramovski D. (Pen),
- 86', Gokay E. ↓, Fidan K. ↑,
- 86', Strandberg C. ↓, Buz Y. A. ↑,
- 89', Bekaj V. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Fidan K. ⚽,
- 90+5', Celik C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sivasspor
70% | Draw
17.3% | Hatayspor
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sivasspor's performance.Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivasspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Sivasspor - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.52) |
5.37 ↑
(4.24) |
7.25 ↑
(5.52) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 73.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 1.
- Recent performances by Sivasspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hatayspor is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Sivasspor is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Pritchard A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Hatayspor?
Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Sivasspor?
Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Hatayspor were as follows:
16.03.2025
Hatayspor
-
Sivasspor
1:1
20.10.2024
Sivasspor
-
Hatayspor
3:2
17.02.2024
Hatayspor
-
Sivasspor
1:1
30.09.2023
Sivasspor
-
Hatayspor
0:0
02.10.2022
Sivasspor
-
Hatayspor
1:2
Latest results of Sivasspor
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
