Result
16/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 28
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (344/406) | 81% (301/373) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (80/112) | 70% (89/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 38% (9/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 75% (12/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Koita F. ⚽, Bekiroglu E. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
- 31', Sertel C. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 1, Yilmaz R. B. ⚽, Parmak A. (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, Manaj R. ⚽,
- 64', Charisis C. ↓, Basyigit E. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 2, Kilama G. ⚽,
- 67', Ciftci U. 🟨,
- 72', Fernandes J. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
- 72', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
- 74', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
- 78', Calvo F. 🟥,
- 78', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 78', Paluli M. 🟨,
- 79', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
- 83', Rodrigues G. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
- 84', Saglam G. ↓, Demir C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
31.8% | Draw
28.2% | Sivasspor
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sivasspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sivasspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hatayspor - Sivasspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.43) |
3.36 ↓
(3.37) |
2.39 ↓
(2.9) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Sivasspor?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hatayspor: 38.6% – 79.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.
- Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Sivasspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M.
(Knee Injury)
Cigerci T.
(Calf Injury)
Erdal Z.
(Yellow Cards)
Pritchard A.
(Injury)
Turgunboev A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Alici K.
(Injury)
Corekci K.
(Thigh Injury)
Diack L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sivasspor: Bassan E.
(Injury)
Camara S.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Sivasspor?
Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Hatayspor?
Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Sivasspor were as follows:
20.10.2024
Sivasspor
-
Hatayspor
3:2
17.02.2024
Hatayspor
-
Sivasspor
1:1
30.09.2023
Sivasspor
-
Hatayspor
0:0
02.10.2022
Sivasspor
-
Hatayspor
1:2
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Sivasspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Gaziantep | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
