Sivasspor vs Hatayspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas).

1. Lig - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	1.54
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
85% (377/443)	63% (134/214)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	1.30
Total shots
14	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
32	6
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
9	13
Passes
85% (377/443)	63% (134/214)
Long passes
66% (35/53)	35% (24/68)
Passes in final third
75% (141/189)	47% (25/53)
Crosses
17% (10/58)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.57
Throw-ins
40	11
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
91% (10/11)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
45	43
Clearances
5	57
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.30	0.78
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kilama G. ⚽,
10', Okoronkwo J. 🟨,
42', Matur O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Boke T. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
55', Yildirim M. 🟨,
64', Saglam G. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
65', Ethemi V. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
65', Luan ↓, Malle A. ↑,
65', Charisis C. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
70', Aksoy E. 🟨,
81', Aksoy E. 🟨,
83', Avramovski D. (Pen),
86', Gokay E. ↓, Fidan K. ↑,
86', Strandberg C. ↓, Buz Y. A. ↑,
89', Bekaj V. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Fidan K. ⚽,
90+5', Celik C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sivasspor
70%

Draw
17.3%

Hatayspor
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sivasspor's performance.

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sivasspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Sivasspor - Hatayspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)	5.37 ↑ (4.24)	7.25 ↑ (5.52)	6.1% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Hatayspor?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sivasspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 1.
Recent performances by Sivasspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hatayspor is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Sivasspor is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Sivasspor: Pritchard A. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Hatayspor?

Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Sivasspor?

Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Hatayspor were as follows:

16.03.2025 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:1

20.10.2024 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 3:2

17.02.2024 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:1

30.09.2023 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 0:0

02.10.2022 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 1:2

Latest results of Sivasspor

19.10.2025 Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor 0:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Sivasspor - Serik Belediyespor 0:0 ✺

29.09.2025 Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor 0:0 ✺

25.09.2025 Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor 5:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Vanspor - Sivasspor 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Hatayspor

18.10.2025 Hatayspor - Çorum 1:4 ✺

05.10.2025 Bodrumspor - Hatayspor 5:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor 0:3 ✺

23.09.2025 Igdirspor - Hatayspor 4:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Hatayspor - Boluspor 2:2 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	28	17	9	2	60:19	41	60
2	Erokspor	28	17	8	3	67:22	45	59
3	Amedspor	28	16	7	5	58:32	26	55
4	Corum	28	15	5	8	44:31	13	50
5	Bodrumspor	28	14	6	8	58:29	29	48
6	Pendikspor	28	13	9	6	43:22	21	48
7	Igdir FK	28	12	8	8	38:37	1	44
8	Bandirmaspor	28	12	6	10	40:32	8	42
9	Keciorengucu	28	10	10	8	53:36	17	40
10	Manisa FK	28	11	7	10	42:41	1	40
11	Boluspor	28	11	5	12	47:40	7	38
12	Vanspor FK	28	10	8	10	39:32	7	38
13	Sivasspor	28	9	11	8	36:29	7	38
14	Istanbulspor AS	28	9	11	8	37:41	-4	38
15	Sariyer	28	10	5	13	30:35	-5	35
16	Umraniyespor	28	9	5	14	33:38	-5	32
17	Serik Spor	28	8	5	15	29:54	-25	29
18	Sakaryaspor	28	6	7	15	34:52	-18	25
19	Hatayspor	28	0	7	21	20:77	-57	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	28	0	3	25	16:125	-109	-39

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to