Result
1:0
01/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 12
- Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 85% (420/494) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (254/320) | 85% (420/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (47/70) | 67% (107/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Hoti E. ⚽, Ozdemir T. (A),
- 34', Saitoglu Y. 🟨,
- 39', Boke T. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Malle A. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
- 46', Avramovski D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
- 72', Basyigit E. ↓, Fidan K. ↑,
- 80', Kosoko T. ↓, Karasu M. ↑,
- 80', Celik C. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
- 88', Charisis C. ↓, Yigiter O. ↑,
- 88', Ozdemir T. ↓, Yilmaz Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Appindangoye A. 🟥,
- 90+3', Celik B. ↓, Oksuz B. ↑,
- 90+3', Babacan A. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
- 90+6', Paluli M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Vural A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
17.4% | Draw
24.3% | Sivasspor
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Umraniyespor - Sivasspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.35 ↑
(4.62) |
3.88 ↑
(3.54) |
1.59 ↓
(1.73) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Sivasspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Umraniyespor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sivasspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sivasspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Goksu S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sivasspor: Menderes C.
(Finger Injury)
Pritchard A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Sivasspor?
Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Umraniyespor?
Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Sivasspor were as follows:
07.05.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Sivasspor
4:1
12.11.2022
Sivasspor
-
Umraniyespor
2:2
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Sivasspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
