Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.41
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
60
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
96
Passes
80% (304/381)79% (307/388)
Yellow cards
50
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.00
Total shots
118
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
713
Passes
80% (304/381)79% (307/388)
Long passes
50% (34/68)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
64% (84/131)64% (51/80)
Crosses
31% (8/26)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.33
Throw ins
2629
Fouls
137
Tackles
85% (22/26)81% (17/21)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.000.70
Goals prevented
0.000.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Manaj R. , Boke T. ,
  • 34', Fidan K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Glumac T. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Hoti E. , Goksu S. ,
  • 59', Ekincier B. , Kosoko T. ,
  • 62', Celik C. 🟨,
  • 65', Gokay E. , Malle A. ,
  • 65', Charisis C. , Avramovski D. ,
  • 75', Bardhi J. , Sas Y. D. ,
  • 75', Djokanovic A. , Aktas K. ,
  • 80', Celik C. , Kesgin K. ,
  • 85', Ciftci U. 🟨,
  • 88', Boke T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kesgin K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sivasspor
55.8%
Draw
24.9%
Umraniyespor
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 25.5% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Sivasspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.8)
    3.72
    (3.63)
    4.82
    (4.04)
    8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Umraniyespor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Umraniyespor (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sivasspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Sivasspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Umraniyespor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Bulbul A. T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sivasspor: Celik M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 1:0
    07.05.2023 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 4:1
    12.11.2022 Sivasspor - Umraniyespor 2:2
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    11.03.2026 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 3:1
    06.03.2026 Sarıyer - Umraniyespor 1:2
    22.02.2026 Çorum - Umraniyespor 2:0
    17.02.2026 Umraniyespor - Boluspor 4:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor35219577:364172
    3Erokspor352010579:334670
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Umraniyespor351271642:44-243
    15Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    16Boluspor351261752:54-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor35891844:62-1833
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to