Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas).

1. Lig - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.84	0.41
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
6	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
9	6
Passes
80% (304/381)	79% (307/388)
Yellow cards
5	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.84	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.00
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
6	0
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
7	7
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
7	13
Passes
80% (304/381)	79% (307/388)
Long passes
50% (34/68)	40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
64% (84/131)	64% (51/80)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.33
Throw ins
26	29
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
85% (22/26)	81% (17/21)
Duels won
44	54
Clearances
24	31
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.00	0.70
Goals prevented
0.00	0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Manaj R. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
34', Fidan K. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Glumac T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Hoti E. ↓, Goksu S. ↑,
59', Ekincier B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
62', Celik C. 🟨,
65', Gokay E. ↓, Malle A. ↑,
65', Charisis C. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
75', Bardhi J. ↓, Sas Y. D. ↑,
75', Djokanovic A. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
80', Celik C. ↓, Kesgin K. ↑,
85', Ciftci U. 🟨,
88', Boke T. 🟨,
90+4', Kesgin K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sivasspor
55.8%

Draw
24.9%

Umraniyespor
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Sivasspor - Umraniyespor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	4.82 ↑ (4.04)	8% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Umraniyespor?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Umraniyespor (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sivasspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).
Sivasspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Umraniyespor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Bulbul A. T. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Sivasspor: Celik M. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Umraniyespor?

Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Sivasspor?

Umraniyespor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:

01.11.2025 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 1:0

07.05.2023 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 4:1

12.11.2022 Sivasspor - Umraniyespor 2:2

Latest results of Sivasspor

11.03.2026 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Sivasspor - Keçiörengücü 0:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor 0:1 ✺

23.02.2026 Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor 4:1 ✺

19.02.2026 Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Umraniyespor

11.03.2026 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 3:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Sarıyer - Umraniyespor 1:2 ✺

01.03.2026 Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor 1:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Çorum - Umraniyespor 2:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Umraniyespor - Boluspor 4:2 ✺

Turkish First League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	38	23	12	3	82:27	55	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	39	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	46	74
4	Corum	38	21	8	9	63:39	24	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	32	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	25	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	30	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	13	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	1	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	4	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	2	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	0	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	-2	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	5	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	4	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	-4	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	-31	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	-27	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	-69	14
20	Adana Demirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-147	-54

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation