Result
3:5
15/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vodnik 26.5% | Draw 14.2% | SKA Neftyanik 59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vodnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vodnik's form might have worsened.SKA Neftyanik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA Neftyanik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vodnik than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vodnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Neftyanik than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA Neftyanik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vodnik - SKA Neftyanik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.4 ↑ (2.45) |
6.33 ↑ (6) |
1.52 ↓ (1.86) |
11% (11.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vodnik won 3.
- Recent performances by Vodnik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SKA Neftyanik is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vodnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- SKA Neftyanik might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that SKA Neftyanik will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vodnik won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 83:76. (average 4.2:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vodnik won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 46:27. (average 5.1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vodnik won against SKA Neftyanik?
Vodnik has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SKA Neftyanik won against Vodnik?
SKA Neftyanik has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vodnik - SKA Neftyanik were as follows:
26.11.2025
SKA Neftyanik
-
Vodnik
3:0
16.03.2025
Vodnik
-
SKA Neftyanik
9:3
15.03.2025
Vodnik
-
SKA Neftyanik
6:3
12.03.2025
SKA Neftyanik
-
Vodnik
4:2
05.02.2025
Vodnik
-
SKA Neftyanik
5:4
Latest results of SKA Neftyanik
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Ska Neftianik (1) | Rodina (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Vodnik (4) | Uralskiy Trubnik (5) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow (2) | Yenisei (7) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Kuzbass (3) | Start (6) | 2 : 0 |