Result
3:4 penalties
10/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 14:12, 1 - 0, Gorbunov D. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Korchemkin D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:38, 1 - 1, Yarullin A. (G), Vydrenkov I. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)
- 06:08, 1 - 2, Nedopyokin N. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Shekhovtsov Y. (A2)
- 13:28, 2 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:34, 3 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A), Popov O. (A2)
- 05:05, 3 - 3, Yarullin A. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 2)
- 1, Lutfullin I. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Leontyev A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Nedopyokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Osipov G. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Korenev I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Norilsk
34.7% | Draw
25.6% | SKA-VMF
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Norilsk - SKA-VMF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.45) |
3.65 ↓
(3.98) |
2.35 ↓
(2.45) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.
- Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 2.7:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against SKA-VMF?
Norilsk has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SKA-VMF won against Norilsk?
SKA-VMF has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - SKA-VMF were as follows:
30.11.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
4:0
23.08.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
3:0
23.02.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
3:6
29.09.2024
Norilsk
-
SKA-VMF
5:3
25.12.2023
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
1:3
Latest results of Norilsk
Latest results of SKA-VMF
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | 2 : 2 |
