Result
3:4 penalties
10/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 14:12, 1 - 0, Gorbunov D. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Korchemkin D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 04:38, 1 - 1, Yarullin A. (G), Vydrenkov I. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)
- 06:08, 1 - 2, Nedopyokin N. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Shekhovtsov Y. (A2)
- 13:28, 2 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:34, 3 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A), Popov O. (A2)
- 05:05, 3 - 3, Yarullin A. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 2)
- 1, Lutfullin I. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Leontyev A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Nedopyokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Osipov G. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Korenev I. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Norilsk
34.7% | Draw
25.6% | SKA-VMF
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Norilsk - SKA-VMF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.45) |
3.65 ↓
(3.98) |
2.35 ↓
(2.45) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.
- Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 2.7:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against SKA-VMF?
Norilsk has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SKA-VMF won against Norilsk?
SKA-VMF has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - SKA-VMF were as follows:
30.11.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
4:0
23.08.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
3:0
23.02.2025
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
3:6
29.09.2024
Norilsk
-
SKA-VMF
5:3
25.12.2023
SKA-VMF
-
Norilsk
1:3
Latest results of Norilsk
Latest results of SKA-VMF
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 55 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 194:119 | 93 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 53 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 147:81 | 87 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 53 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 188:103 | 81 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 52 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 153:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 54 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 157:132 | 67 |
| 8 | CSK VVS | 53 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 149:125 | 66 |
| 9 | Ryazan | 53 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 144:128 | 66 |
| 10 | Dizel | 53 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 135:118 | 66 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 142:121 | 65 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 53 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 153:143 | 65 |
| 13 | Perm | 53 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 126:138 | 65 |
| 14 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 54 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 130:123 | 63 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 52 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 142:119 | 62 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 125:131 | 62 |
| 18 | Krasnoyarsk | 55 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 130:136 | 62 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 145:137 | 58 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 54 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 127:129 | 57 |
| 21 | AKM | 54 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 122:149 | 56 |
| 22 | Zvezda Moscow | 53 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 115:124 | 55 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 24 | Tambov | 53 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 129:146 | 50 |
| 25 | Olympia | 52 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 95:135 | 49 |
| 26 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 55 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 115:163 | 46 |
| 28 | Orsk | 51 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82:133 | 45 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 52 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 110:149 | 42 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 53 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 107:148 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 52 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 120:163 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108:161 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
