Mārupe vs Skanstes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian 1 Liga Mārupe - Skanstes
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 21

Chances of winning


Mārupe
42.6%
Draw
26.9%
Skanstes
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 25.7% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Mārupe - Skanstes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.12)
    3.4
    (3.5)
    2.99
    (3.03)
    9.5%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).
    • Mārupe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Skanstes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Skanstes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mārupe could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Skanstes were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Skanstes - Mārupe 1:0
    03.08.2024 Mārupe - Skanstes 0:0
    06.04.2024 Skanstes - Mārupe 1:1
    Latest results of Mārupe
    20.09.2025 Riga 2 - Mārupe 1:0
    14.09.2025 Mārupe - JDFS Alberts 2:1
    01.09.2025 Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe 4:1
    23.08.2025 Mārupe - Smiltene 0:3
    09.08.2025 Riga Mariners - Mārupe 3:1
    Latest results of Skanstes
    21.09.2025 Rēzekne - Skanstes 1:2
    12.09.2025 Skanstes - Riga 2 1:0
    31.08.2025 JDFS Alberts - Skanstes 2:2
    22.08.2025 Skanstes - Rīgas FS 2 0:3
    09.08.2025 Smiltene - Skanstes 1:2
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ogre United21162360:174350
    2Riga Mariners21153358:253348
    3Alberts JDFS20126243:192442
    4JFK Ventspils21108335:221338
    5RFS 221105638:241435
    6Skanste2095628:30-232
    7Marupe20911024:27-328
    8Leevon PPK21831033:35-227
    9Rezekne2176828:42-1427
    10FK Smiltene21721239:38123
    11Tukums 2000 221511525:47-2216
    12AFA Olaine20431327:66-3915
    13Riga FC 221351319:36-1714
    14Augsdaugavas21341415:44-2913

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