Mārupe vs Skanstes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 21

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Garais P. , Sula M. ,
  • 46', Sadovnikovs R. , Roga R. ,
  • 61', Otikovs A. , Meri T. ,
  • 70', Simpermanis K. , Livcans L. ,
  • 74', Oliynyk M. , Zarovs N. ,
  • 82', Petersons D. , Belickis G. ,
  • 83', Bekeris O. , Kletskiy M. ,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Kellers O. ,
  • 90+2', Korzans R. , Korsaks K. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mārupe
42.2%
Draw
27.3%
Skanstes
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.3% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 25.7% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Mārupe - Skanstes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.12)
    3.33
    (3.5)
    2.98
    (3.03)
    10.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).
    • Mārupe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Skanstes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Skanstes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mārupe could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mārupe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Skanstes were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Skanstes - Mārupe 1:0
    03.08.2024 Mārupe - Skanstes 0:0
    06.04.2024 Skanstes - Mārupe 1:1
    Latest results of Mārupe
    20.09.2025 Riga 2 - Mārupe 1:0
    14.09.2025 Mārupe - JDFS Alberts 2:1
    01.09.2025 Rīgas FS 2 - Mārupe 4:1
    23.08.2025 Mārupe - Smiltene 0:3
    09.08.2025 Riga Mariners - Mārupe 3:1
    Latest results of Skanstes
    21.09.2025 Rēzekne - Skanstes 1:2
    12.09.2025 Skanstes - Riga 2 1:0
    31.08.2025 JDFS Alberts - Skanstes 2:2
    22.08.2025 Skanstes - Rīgas FS 2 0:3
    09.08.2025 Smiltene - Skanstes 1:2
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marupe11004:043
    2Valmiera11003:123
    3Metta11003:123
    4Leevon PPK11002:113
    5Super Nova 211002:113
    6Riga Mariners11001:013
    7FK Smiltene10103:301
    8RFS 210103:301
    9Alberts JDFS10011:2-10
    10Skanste10011:2-10
    11JFK Ventspils10010:1-10
    12Riga FC 210011:3-20
    13Tukums 2000 210011:3-20
    14Rezekne10010:4-40

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