Result
3:1
01/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PlusLiga - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
Chances of winning
Skra Bełchatów 48.5% | Trefl Gdańsk 51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skra Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Bełchatów's form might have worsened.Trefl Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trefl Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Bełchatów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefl Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.73) |
|
1.79 ↓ (2) |
7.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 2.
- Bełchatów is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gdańsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bełchatów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 2.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Skra Bełchatów won against Trefl Gdańsk?
Skra Bełchatów has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefl Gdańsk won against Skra Bełchatów?
Trefl Gdańsk has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk were as follows:
11.12.2025
Trefl Gdańsk
-
Skra Bełchatów
3:0
29.12.2024
Trefl Gdańsk
-
Skra Bełchatów
3:0
27.09.2024
Skra Bełchatów
-
Trefl Gdańsk
3:2
11.02.2024
Trefl Gdańsk
-
Skra Bełchatów
2:3
14.11.2023
Skra Bełchatów
-
Trefl Gdańsk
1:3
Latest results of Skra Bełchatów
Latest results of Trefl Gdańsk
Polish PlusLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Zawiercie | 25 | 20 | 5 | 65:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Projekt Warszawa | 25 | 18 | 7 | 57:33 | 51 |
| 3 | Lublin | 25 | 17 | 8 | 61:40 | 50 |
| 4 | Olsztyn | 25 | 16 | 9 | 59:45 | 46 |
| 5 | Rzeszow | 24 | 16 | 8 | 55:36 | 45 |
| 6 | Belchatow | 25 | 14 | 11 | 49:45 | 41 |
| 7 | Jastrzebski | 24 | 14 | 10 | 49:43 | 39 |
| 8 | Kedzierzyn-Kozle | 25 | 12 | 13 | 57:54 | 39 |
| 9 | Gdansk | 25 | 13 | 12 | 52:52 | 36 |
| 10 | Slepsk Suwalki | 25 | 8 | 17 | 41:60 | 28 |
| 11 | Barkom | 25 | 8 | 17 | 39:63 | 24 |
| 12 | Cuprum Gorzow | 25 | 7 | 18 | 38:60 | 24 |
| 13 | ChKS Chelm | 25 | 7 | 18 | 32:62 | 23 |
| 14 | Norwid Czestochowa | 25 | 4 | 21 | 32:68 | 17 |
Promotion ~ PlusLiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ I. Liga