Skra Bełchatów vs Trefl Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PlusLiga - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2

Chances of winning


Skra Bełchatów
48.5%
Trefl Gdańsk
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Skra Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Bełchatów's form might have worsened.
  • Trefl Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trefl Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Bełchatów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefl Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.73)

    1.79
    (2)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 2.
    • Bełchatów is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gdańsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bełchatów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 2.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk were as follows:
    11.12.2025 Trefl Gdańsk - Skra Bełchatów 3:0
    29.12.2024 Trefl Gdańsk - Skra Bełchatów 3:0
    27.09.2024 Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk 3:2
    11.02.2024 Trefl Gdańsk - Skra Bełchatów 2:3
    14.11.2023 Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk 1:3
    Latest results of Skra Bełchatów
    Latest results of Trefl Gdańsk
    Polish PlusLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Zawiercie2520565:2559
    2Projekt Warszawa2518757:3351
    3Lublin2517861:4050
    4Rzeszow2517858:3648
    5Olsztyn2516959:4546
    6Belchatow25141149:4541
    7Jastrzebski25141149:4639
    8Kedzierzyn-Kozle25121357:5439
    9Gdansk25131252:5236
    10Slepsk Suwalki2581741:6028
    11Barkom2581739:6324
    12Cuprum Gorzow2571838:6024
    13ChKS Chelm2571832:6223
    14Norwid Czestochowa2542132:6817

          Promotion ~ PlusLiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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