Skra Częstochowa vs Polonia Nysa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Metlushko I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Metlushko I. ,
  • 58', Wojciechowski Z. 🟥,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Podgorski M. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Lechowicz M. ,

Chances of winning


Skra Częstochowa
55.6%
Draw
23.3%
Polonia Nysa
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.6% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 23.2% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Polonia Nysa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Polonia Nysa aligns with the current prediction.
  • Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Nysa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.63)
    3.86
    (3.8)
    4.28
    (4.2)
    10.9%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Polonia Nysa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Skra Częstochowa is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Skra Częstochowa
    Latest results of Polonia Nysa
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora18116147:103739
    2BKS Sparta Katowice19115331:191238
    3Polkowice17113331:191236
    4Zaglebie II18104448:321634
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj1887329:21831
    6Carina Gubin1977529:32-328
    7Skra1877435:29628
    8Kluczbork1883729:21827
    9Warta Gorzow1875628:29-126
    10Jelenia Gora1773729:28124
    11Gornik Zabrze II1973936:27924
    12Nysa1858530:32-223
    13Sleza Wroclaw1863925:35-1021
    14Woliborz1854927:34-719
    15Legnica II18441029:39-1016
    16Pawlowice19431219:36-1715
    17Starowice Dolne18341116:39-2313
    18Stal Jasien18211521:57-367

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation