Skra Częstochowa vs Stal Jasień – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
27/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Kurianowicz K. ,
  • 8', 1 - 1, Nocon P. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Metlushko I. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 65', 3 - 1, Golebiowski R. ,
  • 79', 4 - 1, Lukasiewicz J. ,
  • 81', 5 - 1, Jarek S. ,
  • 86', 5 - 2, ,
  • 90+4', 6 - 2, Golebiowski R. ,

Chances of winning


Skra Częstochowa
66.9%
Draw
19%
Stal Jasień
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 19.8% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 18.7% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Skra Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skra Częstochowa's performance.
  • Stal Jasień has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Jasień might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Jasień than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Skra Częstochowa - Stal Jasień Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.47)
    4.81
    (4.5)
    6.46
    (4.5)
    9.5%
    (12.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Skra Częstochowa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stal Jasień's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Skra Częstochowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Skra Częstochowa is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stal Jasień
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora21137153:114246
    2BKS Sparta Katowice22127338:221643
    3Polkowice21134436:241243
    4Zaglebie II22125555:342141
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj21107434:231137
    6Warta Gorzow2295838:35332
    7Skra2188542:40232
    8Sleza Wroclaw2294933:39-631
    9Carina Gubin2178631:36-529
    10Kluczbork2185836:29729
    11Gornik Zabrze II22841046:311528
    12Jelenia Gora2075832:32026
    13Nysa2168733:37-426
    14Woliborz22751032:38-626
    15Legnica II21551135:43-820
    16Pawlowice22531422:43-2118
    17Starowice Dolne22451319:50-3117
    18Stal Jasien22211921:69-487

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation