Śląsk Wrocław vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
96
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
59
Corner Kicks
96
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1216
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Skrabb S. , Poczobut B. ,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Samiec-Talar P. , Marjanac L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Zjawinski L. , Wojciechowski O. (A),
  • 60', Halimi B. 🟨,
  • 64', Halimi B. , Klimek A. ,
  • 64', Marjanac L. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 65', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 67', Szromnik M. 🟨,
  • 73', Sokolowski P. , Jezierski J. ,
  • 73', Guercio T. , Rosiak M. ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 79', Dadok R. , Durmus I. ,
  • 82', Samiec-Talar P. , Warchol D. ,
  • 90', Hoxhallari E. , Vasin N. ,

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
50.3%
Draw
25.9%
Polonia Warsaw
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 24.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 24.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.
  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Śląsk Wrocław that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.81
    (3.75)
    4.32
    (3)
    1.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Śląsk Wrocław will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 9).
    • Śląsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Polonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Śląsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Śląsk could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2