Śląsk Wrocław vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
96
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
59
Corner Kicks
96
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1216
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
1510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Skrabb S. , Poczobut B. ,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Samiec-Talar P. , Marjanac L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Guercio T. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Zjawinski L. , Wojciechowski O. (A),
  • 60', Halimi B. 🟨,
  • 64', Halimi B. , Klimek A. ,
  • 64', Marjanac L. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 65', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 67', Szromnik M. 🟨,
  • 73', Sokolowski P. , Jezierski J. ,
  • 73', Guercio T. , Rosiak M. ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 79', Dadok R. , Durmus I. ,
  • 82', Samiec-Talar P. , Warchol D. ,
  • 90', Hoxhallari E. , Vasin N. ,

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
50.3%
Draw
25.9%
Polonia Warsaw
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 24.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 24.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.
  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Śląsk Wrocław that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.12)
    3.81
    (3.75)
    4.32
    (3)
    1.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Śląsk Wrocław will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 9).
    • Śląsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Polonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Śląsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Śląsk could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2