Result
2:0
11/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/467) | 72% (242/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (392/467) | 72% (242/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (100/144) | 60% (50/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Filipovic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kavelj A. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
- 46', Durakovic E. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Lepinjica I. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 60', Liber A. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 65', Pozo I. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
- 65', Bozic I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 68', Lepinjica I. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Kovacic D. ⚽, Jagusic A. (A),
- 84', Bozic T. ↓, Boras M. ↑,
- 85', Jagusic A. ↓, Caimacov M. ↑,
- 85', Santini I. ↓, Jakolis A. ↑,
- 87', Bosec A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bakic O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
57.7% | Draw
25.5% | Šibenik
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Slaven Belupo - Šibenik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.69) |
3.66 ↓
(3.67) |
5.54 ↑
(4.96) |
7.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Šibenik?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Šibenik will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 1.
- Slaven Belupo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Šibenik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Šibenik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Slaven Belupo is a favorite.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Jesenovic M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Slaven Belupo to win the game is with odds 1.62.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:20 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Slaven Belupo won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Šibenik?
Slaven Belupo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Slaven Belupo?
Šibenik has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Šibenik were as follows:
01.02.2025
Šibenik
-
Slaven Belupo
1:1
16.11.2024
Šibenik
-
Slaven Belupo
1:2
25.10.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Šibenik
2:2
09.08.2024
Šibenik
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
17.02.2023
Slaven Belupo
-
Šibenik
0:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
