Result
0:1
22/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (410/499) | 64% (171/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (410/499) | 64% (171/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/68) | 31% (22/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (94/146) | 48% (31/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mladenovski M. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
- 54', Agbekpornu M. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 54', Lepinjica I. ↓, Caimacov M. ↑,
- 60', Tepsic N. 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 1, Mitrovski D. ⚽,
- 64', Ba L. 🟨,
- 64', Crepulja L. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
- 71', Marina M. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 73', Vuk M. 🟨,
- 82', Dabro M. ↓, Poldrugac J. ↑,
- 82', Mitrovski D. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 86', Jakir A. ↓, Sakota M. ↑,
- 86', Zelenika O. 🟨,
- 88', Vuk M. ↓, Jovanov V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
43.1% | Draw
30.7% | Varaždin
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Slaven Belupo - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.16) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
3.53 ↑
(3.47) |
6.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 2 - 40%). Varaždin (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 1.
- Slaven Belupo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Varaždin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently Slaven Belupo have a series of home games.
- Slaven Belupo will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic T.
(Yellow Cards)
Jesenovic M.
(Inactive)
Liber A.
(Yellow Cards)
Lucic L.
(Yellow Cards)
Nestorovski I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Cuic M.
(Yellow Cards)
Duvnjak T.
(Yellow Cards)
Latkovic A.
(Inactive)
Mazari A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Dolcek I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Slaven Belupo won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Varaždin?
Slaven Belupo has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Slaven Belupo?
Varaždin has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Varaždin were as follows:
16.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
0:1
10.01.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
10.11.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
1:1
24.08.2024
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
06.04.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
0:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
