Result
3:1
10/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 2
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (428/508) | 73% (204/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (428/508) | 73% (204/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (84/130) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Borsic A. 🟥,
- 21', Silic J. 🟨,
- 24', Bozic T. ↓, Katalinic Z. ↑,
- 24', Mamut I. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 27', 0 - 1, Tavares I. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Bozic I. ⚽, Jagusic A. (A),
- 45+6', Lepinjica I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Maglica F. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
- 46', Lepinjica I. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑,
- 46', Cubelic I. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 63', Tavares I. ↓, Mamic L. ↑,
- 63', Belcar L. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 75', Jakir A. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 75', Latkovic A. ↓, Jovanov V. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Liber A. ⚽,
- 80', Barac M. ↓, Medjimorec V. ↑,
- 81', Mitrovic J. 🟨,
- 89', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Jagusic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
41.6% | Draw
30.1% | Varaždin
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Slaven Belupo - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.27) |
3.2 ↓
(3.22) |
3.46 ↑
(3.15) |
3.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slaven Belupo: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 1.
- Recent performances by Slaven Belupo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Varaždin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Slaven Belupo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Curkovic L.
(Inactive)
Markovic A.
(Inactive)
Nestorovski I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Mamic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Kruselj F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Varaždin?
Slaven Belupo has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Slaven Belupo?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Varaždin were as follows:
22.04.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
0:1
16.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
0:1
10.01.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
10.11.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
1:1
24.08.2024
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Gorica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Osijek | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
