Result
0:2
31/01/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (412/479) | 71% (144/203) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (412/479) | 71% (144/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (136/179) | 51% (19/37) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Mamic L. 🟨,
- 6', Crepulja L. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 17', 0 - 1, Mamut I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', 0 - 2, Mamic L. ⚽, Mamut I. (A),
- 42', Mamic L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Maglica F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Isasegi K. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 51', Mitrovic J. 🟨,
- 56', Mamut I. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 58', Qestaj E. ↓, Ascic M. ↑,
- 67', Latkovic A. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 75', Cubelic I. ↓, Zuta L. ↑,
- 81', Tavares I. ↓, Mladenovski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
37.6% | Draw
30.3% | Varaždin
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Slaven Belupo - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.34) |
3.08 ↓
(3.3) |
2.93 ↑
(2.79) |
6.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Slaven Belupo (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Slaven Belupo has had a series of home games.
- Slaven Belupo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Bozic T.
(Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Varaždin?
Slaven Belupo has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Slaven Belupo?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Varaždin were as follows:
25.10.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
1:3
10.08.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
3:1
22.04.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
0:1
16.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
0:1
10.01.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
