Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/389) | 79% (268/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/389) | 79% (268/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 23% (10/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (78/109) | 59% (58/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Tavares I. ⚽, Canjuga I. (A),
- 35', Grgic A. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 1, Crepulja L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Crepulja L. 🟨,
- 64', Mamic L. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
- 64', Tavares I. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 65', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 66', Mazar F. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 66', Cubelic I. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 68', Bosnjak L. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Mamut I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Puclin D. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 79', Borsic A. ↓, Sikosek G. ↑,
- 83', Mamut I. ↓, Mladenovski M. ↑,
- 86', Kruselj F. ↓, Isasegi K. ↑,
- 86', Mitrovic J. ↓, Ascic M. ↑,
- 90+2', Skaricic L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
40.7% | Draw
29.6% | Slaven Belupo
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-1%)
Varaždin - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.31) |
3.15 ↑
(3.14) |
3.13 ↑
(3.12) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Varaždin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Slaven Belupo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Slaven Belupo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Varaždin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Injury)
Ilinkovic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Juric S.
(Inactive)
Latkovic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Mamut I.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Inactive)
Caimacov M.
(Hip Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Inactive)
Zuta L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Jakir A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Slaven Belupo?
Varaždin has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Varaždin?
Slaven Belupo has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
31.01.2026
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
0:2
25.10.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
1:3
10.08.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
3:1
22.04.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
0:1
16.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
0:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
