Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 10
  • Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
88
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
55
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
88
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
148
Throw-ins
2730
Fouls
814

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Lozev D. , Budinov I. ,
  • 24', Ivanov D. 🟨,
  • 29', Diego 🟨,
  • 45+2', Balov K. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Ivanov D. , Xande (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Semedo J. 🟨,
  • 62', Stefanov I. , Miletic M. ,
  • 62', Balov K. , Aleksandrov D. ,
  • 74', Ivanov D. , Yanchev E. ,
  • 74', Stoev E. , Tasev T. ,
  • 84', Guermouche Y. , Raychev R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Miletic M. ,
  • 89', Stojanovski G. , Halachev D. ,
  • 89', Berna , Pahama N. ,

Chances of winning


Spartak Varna
27.5%
Draw
27.1%
Slavia Sofia
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 28.8% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.9% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.
  • Slavia Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slavia Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Varna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (2.75)
    3.46
    (3.2)
    2.13
    (2.45)
    5.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Slavia Sofia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Slavia Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Slavia Sofia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia 1:3
    09.08.2024 Slavia Sofia - Spartak Varna 3:1
    30.10.2022 Slavia Sofia - Spartak Varna 2:2
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Latest results of Slavia Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia1182119:61326
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia1172219:10923
    3Ludogorets1064017:31422
    4Cherno More1164118:71122
    5Lok. Plovdiv1155112:11120
    6Botev Vratsa1135310:9114
    7Beroe1034311:14-313
    8Spartak Varna1126312:12012
    9Lok. Sofia1126310:10012
    10Arda1133511:12-112
    11Montana113268:19-1111
    12CSKA Sofia111739:10-110
    13Slavia Sofia1124512:17-510
    14Botev Plovdiv1131711:18-710
    15Septemvri Sofia1122712:24-128
    16Dobrudzha112188:17-97

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