Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski vs Ślęza Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', Afonso 🟥,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Siwinski D. ,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Rybicki K. ,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Tuliszka F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', 4 - 0, Lutostanski J. ,
  • 71', 4 - 1, Marcjan P. ,

Chances of winning


Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
56.7%
Draw
23.6%
Ślęza Wrocław
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 25.8% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 24.4% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski's performance.
  • Ślęza Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ślęza Wrocław might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ślęza Wrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.94)
    4.02
    (3.53)
    4.8
    (3.35)
    5.7%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 2.
    • In recent matches, Warta Gorzów has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ślęza is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Warta Gorzów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Warta Gorzów will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Warta Gorzów won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 0:0
    31.08.2024 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław 1:1
    01.06.2024 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław 5:0
    11.11.2023 Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 4:1
    27.05.2023 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław 2:1
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora21137153:114246
    2BKS Sparta Katowice22127338:221643
    3Polkowice21134436:241243
    4Zaglebie II22125555:342141
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj21107434:231137
    6Warta Gorzow2295838:35332
    7Skra2188542:40232
    8Sleza Wroclaw2294933:39-631
    9Carina Gubin2178631:36-529
    10Kluczbork2185836:29729
    11Gornik Zabrze II22841046:311528
    12Jelenia Gora2075832:32026
    13Nysa2168733:37-426
    14Woliborz22751032:38-626
    15Legnica II21551135:43-820
    16Pawlowice22531422:43-2118
    17Starowice Dolne22451319:50-3117
    18Stal Jasien22211921:69-487

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation