Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 10
- Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (305/400) | 75% (221/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (305/400) | 75% (221/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 51% (38/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (82/131) | 50% (41/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Krcik D. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Krcik D. (Own goal),
- 35', Buzek A. 🟥,
- 39', Storman R. 🟨,
- 43', Svidersky M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Storman R. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marinelli A. ↓, Barat D. ↑,
- 57', Koscelnik M. ↓, Petrzela M. ↑,
- 57', Havlik M. ↓, Kvasina M. ↑,
- 58', Danicek V. 🟨,
- 62', Gning A. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
- 62', Samko D. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 65', Danicek V. ↓, Stojcevski A. ↑,
- 75', Singhateh E. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
- 78', Medved Z. ↓, Krmencik M. ↑,
- 80', Barat D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Storman R. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slovácko
30.7% | Draw
28.6% | Karviná
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slovácko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovácko's form might have worsened.Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slovácko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5%)
Slovácko - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(2.58) |
3.37 ↓
(3.45) |
2.33 ↓
(2.6) |
3.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slovácko - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Slovácko will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Slovácko has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There are questionable in Karviná: Bohac S.
(Injury)
Sigut S.
(Injury)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slovácko won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Slovácko won against Karviná?
Slovácko has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Slovácko?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slovácko - Karviná were as follows:
02.03.2025
Karviná
-
Slovácko
2:0
28.09.2024
Slovácko
-
Karviná
2:1
02.03.2024
Karviná
-
Slovácko
1:3
23.09.2023
Slovácko
-
Karviná
2:0
Latest results of Slovácko
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Zlin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Plzen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Liberec | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Karvina | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Ostrava | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Teplice | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Dukla Prague | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
