Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (220/327) | 76% (342/449) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (220/327) | 76% (342/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (12/58) | 44% (32/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (78/129) | 63% (88/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 42% (13/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Simek S. ↓, Jelinek T. ↑,
- 29', Jelinek T. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Suchan J. ⚽, Havlik M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hamza J. ↓, Kopasek S. ↑,
- 46', Godwin E. ↓, Solil T. ↑,
- 61', Juroska P. ↓, Ouanda A. ↑,
- 61', Reinberk P. ↓, Huk T. ↑,
- 62', Patrak V. 🟨,
- 71', Botos G. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 74', Tetour D. 🟨,
- 77', Tetour D. ↓, Marinelli A. ↑,
- 77', Suchan J. ↓, Horak R. ↑,
- 83', Smekal D. ↓, Patrak V. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 0, Solil T. (Own goal),
- 90', Ndefe G. ↓, Svidersky M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slovácko
37.6% | Draw
29.6% | Pardubice
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Slovácko have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Slovácko - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.44) |
3.16 ↓
(3.2) |
2.88 ↑
(2.71) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slovácko - Pardubice?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Slovácko: Danicek V.
(Muscle Injury)
Travnik M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pardubice: Patrak V.
(Muscle Injury)
Reznicek J.
(Injury)
Saarma R.
(Injury)
Vacek K.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slovácko won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Slovácko won against Pardubice?
Slovácko has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Slovácko?
Pardubice has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slovácko - Pardubice were as follows:
20.09.2025
Pardubice
-
Slovácko
1:1
26.04.2025
Slovácko
-
Pardubice
1:0
07.12.2024
Slovácko
-
Pardubice
1:1
11.08.2024
Pardubice
-
Slovácko
0:1
10.02.2024
Slovácko
-
Pardubice
1:2
Latest results of Slovácko
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
