Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 9
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/476) | 61% (140/228) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/476) | 61% (140/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (31/72) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (85/138) | 49% (48/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Saarma R. 🟨,
- 34', Marinelli A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Marinelli A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vecheta F. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
- 46', Sancl F. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Tanko A. ⚽, Smekal D. (A),
- 61', Barat D. ↓, Juroska P. ↑,
- 62', Marinelli A. ↓, Havlik M. ↑,
- 62', Botos G. 🟨,
- 70', Teah D. ↓, Sychra V. ↑,
- 78', Medved Z. ↓, Kvasina M. ↑,
- 78', Reinberk P. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
- 78', Reznicek J. ↓, Simek S. ↑,
- 88', Botos G. ↓, Bammens S. ↑,
- 89', Vasko F. 🟨,
- 90', Blahut P. ↓, Krmencik M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pardubice
35.2% | Draw
29.6% | Slovácko
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pardubice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Pardubice - Slovácko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.37) |
3.32 ↑
(3.28) |
2.77 ↓
(2.99) |
1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pardubice - Slovácko?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pardubice will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Pardubice has had a series of away games.
- Pardubice might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Darmovzal D.
(Injury)
Solil T.
(Knee Injury)
Surzyn M.
(Injury)
Suso M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Slovácko: Rundic M.
(Injury)
Stojcevski A.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Slovácko?
Pardubice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slovácko won against Pardubice?
Slovácko has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Slovácko were as follows:
26.04.2025
Slovácko
-
Pardubice
1:0
07.12.2024
Slovácko
-
Pardubice
1:1
11.08.2024
Pardubice
-
Slovácko
0:1
10.02.2024
Slovácko
-
Pardubice
1:2
26.08.2023
Pardubice
-
Slovácko
0:1
Latest results of Pardubice
Latest results of Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jablonec | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
