Slovan Bratislava vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.84
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
923
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
79% (294/373)81% (305/377)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.38
Total shots
923
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
211
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
79% (294/373)81% (305/377)
Long passes
43% (22/51)54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
70% (80/114)71% (96/136)
Crosses
26% (5/19)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.73
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1317
Tackles
67% (6/9)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.381.65
Goals prevented
0.38-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Palazon I. 🟨,
  • 23', Gumbau G. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Perez F. , Batalla A. (A),
  • 32', Balliu I. , Ratiu A. ,
  • 34', Bajric K. 🟨,
  • 39', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ignatenko D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gumbau G. , Lopez U. ,
  • 46', Sporar A. , Yirajang A. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Kashia G. , Mak R. (A),
  • 52', 2 - 1, Yirajang A. , Marcelli N. (A),
  • 57', Ciss P. , Valentin O. ,
  • 57', Palazon I. , Garcia A. ,
  • 63', Mak R. 🟨,
  • 73', Pokorny P. 🟨,
  • 77', Valentin O. 🟨,
  • 79', Mak R. , Tolic M. ,
  • 83', Weiss V. jr. , Ibrahim R. ,
  • 83', Vertrouwd J. , Camello S. ,
  • 87', Tolic M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Marcelli N. , Savvidis K. ,

Chances of winning


Slovan Bratislava
18.3%
Draw
23.2%
Rayo Vallecano
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.1% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 29.9% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (4.42)
    4.1
    (3.6)
    1.63
    (1.79)
    5%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Slovan Bratislava - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95%96.33%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Slovan Bratislava is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rayo Vallecano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Slovan Bratislava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Slovan Bratislava has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Slovan Bratislava: Barseghyan T. (Injury) Cruz S. (Red Card) Kukharevych M. (Muscle Injury) Medvedev J. (Inactive) Ofori K. (Inactive) Tolic M. (Injury) Zuberu S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Diaz P. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Slovan Bratislava: Sporar A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Nteka R. (Injury) Pacha (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Slovan Bratislava
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye