Slovenia vs Poland, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Slovenia - Poland
Result
95:105
28/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumVOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyDAZN Italia
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Sportklub
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub, Sport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6258
Field Goals Made
3034
Field Goals %
48.4%58.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2532
2-Point Field Goals Made
1720
2-Point Field Goals %
68%62.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3726
3-Point Field Goals Made
1314
3-Point Field Goals %
35.1%53.8%
Free Throws Attempted
2631
Free Throws Made
2223
Free Throws %
84.6%74.2%
Offensive Rebounds
159
Defensive Rebounds
1620
Total Rebounds
3129
Assists
2315
Blocks
41
Turnovers
1515
Steals
89
Personal Fouls
3026

Highlights

Chances of winning


Slovenia
65.6%
Poland
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poland than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Slovenia - Poland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.41)

    2.72
    (3)
    4.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Slovenia - Poland?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Slovenia (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Poland (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: Poland will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.73%94.77%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 4.
    • Recent form of Slovenia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Poland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Poland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Slovenia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 529:492. (average 88.2:82).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Slovenia - Poland were as follows:
    14.09.2022 Slovenia - Poland 87:90
    Latest results of Slovenia
    21.08.2025 Serbia - Slovenia 106:72
    19.08.2025 Slovenia - Great Britain 93:81
    16.08.2025 Latvia - Slovenia 100:88
    15.08.2025 Lithuania - Slovenia 94:72
    10.08.2025 Germany - Slovenia 80:70
    Latest results of Poland
    21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87
    17.08.2025 Poland - Finland 88:97
    14.08.2025 Poland - Georgia 94:89
    10.08.2025 Poland - Sweden 74:72
    03.08.2025 Poland - Iceland 92:90
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey550459:35910
    2Serbia541434:3689
    3Latvia532412:3848
    4Portugal523315:3687
    5Estonia514352:3976
    6Czech Republic505338:4345


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany550529:36510
    2Lithuania541431:3939
    3Finland532426:4068
    4Sweden514403:4186
    5Montenegro514378:4556
    6Great Britain514354:4846


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Bosnia & Herzegovina532401:4018
    2Greece ✔ 431342:2687
    3Italy ✔ 431307:2797
    4Georgia523367:3867
    5Spain422311:2646
    6Cyprus404241:3714


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France ✔ 541461:3919
    2Poland ✔ 431331:3177
    3Israel ✔ 431321:2957
    4Slovenia ✔ 422363:3566
    5Belgium413293:3345
    6Iceland505363:4395

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    France is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)