Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian 1 Liga Smiltene - JFK Ventspils
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 20

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Mikelsons M. ,
  • 38', 2 - 0, Mikelsons M. ,
  • 44', 2 - 1, Svarups K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Okeke A. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Svarups K. ,
  • 56', Sausais D. 🟨,
  • 57', Lucins A. 🟨,
  • 65', Gaismins V. , Tomass E. ,
  • 66', Hounlete P. 🟨,
  • 72', Aliyu A. , Markovs K. ,
  • 82', Klots R. , Snepsts K. ,
  • 84', Svarups K. , Dembele M. ,

Chances of winning


Smiltene
24%
Draw
23.7%
JFK Ventspils
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 23.8% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 23.3% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • JFK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Smiltene - JFK Ventspils Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (3.51)
    3.84
    (3.9)
    1.74
    (1.87)
    10.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Smiltene has had a series of away games.
    • JFK Ventspils will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Smiltene won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Smiltene - JFK Ventspils were as follows:
    11.05.2025 JFK Ventspils - Smiltene 2:1
    31.08.2024 Smiltene - JFK Ventspils 0:2
    05.05.2024 JFK Ventspils - Smiltene 2:0
    27.08.2023 Smiltene - JFK Ventspils 1:1
    Latest results of Smiltene
    13.09.2025 Olaine - Smiltene 3:2
    30.08.2025 Leevon PPK - Smiltene 3:2
    23.08.2025 Mārupe - Smiltene 0:3
    09.08.2025 Smiltene - Skanstes 1:2
    01.08.2025 Riga 2 - Smiltene 0:2
    Latest results of JFK Ventspils
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ogre United21162360:174350
    2Riga Mariners21153358:253348
    3Alberts JDFS20126243:192442
    4JFK Ventspils21108335:221338
    5RFS 221105638:241435
    6Skanste2095628:30-232
    7Marupe20911024:27-328
    8Leevon PPK21831033:35-227
    9Rezekne2176828:42-1427
    10FK Smiltene21721239:38123
    11Tukums 2000 221511525:47-2216
    12AFA Olaine20431327:66-3915
    13Riga FC 221351319:36-1714
    14Augsdaugavas21341415:44-2913

          Promotion ~ Virsliga
          Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
          Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
          Relegation