Result
0:3
23/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Grosbergs K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Grosbergs K. ↓, Maurs-Boks E. ↑,
- 46', Krasts R. ↓, Zauska R. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Bokta M. ⚽,
- 61', Jansons K. 🟨,
- 64', Zags T. ↓, Calitis M. ↑,
- 72', Sadovnikovs R. ↓, Roga R. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 3, Lapins J. ⚽,
- 82', Korsaks K. ↓, Seliverstovs A. ↑,
- 82', Gaismins V. ↓, Tomass E. ↑,
- 87', Bokta M. ↓, Spalvins M. ↑,
- 88', Lapins J. ↓, Rubnikovics T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mārupe
29.7% | Draw
26.3% | Smiltene
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mārupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mārupe's form might have worsened.Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Smiltene's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mārupe than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mārupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smiltene, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mārupe - Smiltene Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.38 ↑
(1.75) |
4.95 ↑
(4.03) |
2.96 ↓
(3.49) |
-23.1%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
- Mārupe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Smiltene is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Mārupe has had a series of away games.
- Mārupe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mārupe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mārupe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Mārupe won against Smiltene?
Mārupe has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smiltene won against Mārupe?
Smiltene has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mārupe - Smiltene were as follows:
19.04.2025
Smiltene
-
Mārupe
1:2
06.10.2024
Mārupe
-
Smiltene
0:0
22.06.2024
Mārupe
-
Smiltene
3:1
15.06.2024
Smiltene
-
Mārupe
0:1
Latest results of Smiltene
Latvian 1 Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga Mariners | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 42 |
| 2 | Ogre United | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 53:17 | 36 | 41 |
| 3 | Alberts JDFS | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 41:17 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:20 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Skanste | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
| 7 | Marupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Leevon PPK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | FK Smiltene | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Rezekne | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:41 | -18 | 13 |
| 12 | Augsdaugavas | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 13 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22:63 | -41 | 9 |
| 14 | Riga FC 2 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15:35 | -20 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Virsliga
Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
Relegation
