Smiltene vs Riga Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 24

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', Stadnik Y. A. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Bokta M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Grazis A. ,
  • 45+2', Sislakovs R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rogovs D. , Krancmanis A. ,
  • 58', Lapins J. 🟨,
  • 59', Zamullo A. , Sinelnikovs A. ,
  • 62', Zauska R. , Gaismins V. ,
  • 68', Sinelnikovs A. 🟨,
  • 70', Lapins J. , Jansons E. ,
  • 70', Stipnieks E. , Krasts R. ,
  • 74', Caune M. , Visnakovs E. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Grazis A. ,
  • 79', Klots R. 🟨,
  • 79', Gaismins V. 🟨,
  • 84', Mikelsons M. , Tomass E. ,
  • 87', Pavlovskis A. , Bokans E. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Grazis A. ,

Chances of winning


Smiltene
20.7%
Draw
20.2%
Riga Mariners
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 20.2% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 19.2% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Riga Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Smiltene - Riga Mariners Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.41
    (4.15)
    4.51
    (4.53)
    1.54
    (1.58)
    9.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )).
    • Smiltene has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Riga Mariners is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Riga Mariners is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smiltene won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    Latest results of Smiltene
    18.10.2025 Augšdaugavas - Smiltene 1:3
    05.10.2025 Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2 0:3
    27.09.2025 Ogre United - Smiltene 1:0
    20.09.2025 Smiltene - JFK Ventspils 2:2
    13.09.2025 Olaine - Smiltene 3:2
    Latest results of Riga Mariners
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1GrobinaAlberts JDFS1 : 0, 0 : 0