Smorgon vs Dinamo Minsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk
Result
1:2
24/09/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
86
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
2117
Throw-ins
3635
Fouls
1517

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Ibrahim F. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Babich E. , Bamba M. (A),
  • 30', Djimet M. 🟨,
  • 34', Babich E. , Aliyu H. S. ,
  • 40', Fazylov A. , Bogdanovich I. ,
  • 42', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Djimet M. , Myakish M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', Bakhar I. , Malashevich E. ,
  • 64', Grechikho D. , Vardanyan K. ,
  • 74', Djimet M. , Vitinho ,
  • 75', Levkovets A. , Dukso M. ,
  • 76', Bamba L. , Dayneko A. ,
  • 76', Chebotar V. , Diallo M. ,
  • 85', Ibrahim F. , Pedro Igor ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Abdullahi F. , Vakulich A. (A),
  • 90+5', Konovalov I. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Intsoen C. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Smorgon
10%
Draw
18.3%
Dinamo Minsk
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.7% 16.2% 73.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6% 16% 74%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.45
    (8.9)
    5.16
    (5.85)
    1.32
    (1.3)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2.
    • In recent matches, Smorgon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dinamo Minsk is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Dinamo Minsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Dinamo Minsk is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:21. (average 0.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon 0:0
    02.12.2024 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:0
    16.03.2024 Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon 5:0
    11.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon 7:0
    25.06.2023 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 3:1
    Latest results of Smorgon
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    13.09.2025 Smorgon - Naftan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Smorgon - ML Vitebsk 0:1
    23.08.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Brest 1:0
    Latest results of Dinamo Minsk
    20.09.2025 Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    14.09.2025 Minsk - Dinamo Minsk 2:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk25174442:162655
    2Din. Minsk25164545:252052
    3Slavia Mozyr26155645:281750
    4Zhodino25128540:261444
    5Dynamo Brest25135738:241444
    6Isloch251110441:221943
    7FC Minsk26126841:41042
    8Neman251221134:25938
    9BATE26961130:40-1033
    10FC Gomel25961028:28033
    11Vitebsk25831433:38-527
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk25511924:31-726
    13Naftan26741532:46-1425
    14Smorgon26661421:38-1724
    15Slutsk26461616:43-2718
    16Molodechno25322018:57-3911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga