Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Naumov E. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Stankevich A. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
- 11', 1 - 0, Intsoen C. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Protasov Y. ⚽, Kingu M. (A),
- 44', Doumbia S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Kingu M. 🟨,
- 56', Camara Y. 🟨,
- 61', Kolyadko M. ↓, Susha A. ↑,
- 61', Camara Y. ↓, Rakhimov A. ↑,
- 66', Dukso M. ↓, Yablonskiy M. ↑,
- 66', Kostomarov N. ↓, Sannikov A. ↑,
- 76', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Aliyu H. S. ↑,
- 76', Doumbia S. ↓, Tishko A. ↑,
- 85', Aliyu H. S. 🟨,
- 88', Pranovich I. ↓, Grudko I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Smorgon
41.4% | Draw
29% | Naftan
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Smorgon - Naftan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.36) |
3.2 ↓
(3.3) |
3.13 ↑
(3.09) |
7.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Smorgon - Naftan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Smorgon (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Smorgon will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2.
- Recent performances by Smorgon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Naftan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Naftan?
Smorgon has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naftan won against Smorgon?
Naftan has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Naftan were as follows:
26.04.2025
Naftan
-
Smorgon
3:1
24.08.2024
Smorgon
-
Naftan
1:0
14.04.2024
Naftan
-
Smorgon
1:1
24.09.2023
Naftan
-
Smorgon
2:2
07.05.2023
Smorgon
-
Naftan
1:0
Latest results of Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 42:24 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:23 | 13 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:35 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Isloch | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 39 |
| 8 | Neman | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 30:21 | 9 | 32 |
| 9 | BATE | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17:33 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11:36 | -25 | 13 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16:55 | -39 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
