Result
0:1
27/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Championship Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (281/369) | 73% (218/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (281/369) | 73% (218/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (73/126) | 67% (57/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 57% (8/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Temine M. ⚽, El Saadawy A. (A),
- 26', El Saadawy A. 🟨,
- 33', Samadou A. 🟨,
- 38', Juhayna 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Juhayna ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
- 46', Fathi E. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
- 51', Bambo K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Sawafta A. 🟨,
- 64', Sobhi K. ↓, El Aash M. ↑,
- 64', Sawafta A. ↓, Zemraoui O. ↑,
- 64', Bambo K. ↓, Hashem M. ↑,
- 65', Deghmoum A. 🟨,
- 72', Mahmoud A. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
- 75', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 80', Mohamed K. 🟨,
- 85', Deghmoum A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 90+1', Samadou A. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
- 90+1', Ragab M. ↓, Saeed H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Smouha
26.3% | Draw
31.9% | Al Masry
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Masry's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Masry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smouha - Al Masry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.99) |
2.91 ↑
(2.74) |
2.23 ↓
(2.57) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Smouha - Al Masry?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al Masry will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al Masry?
Smouha has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Smouha?
Al Masry has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Al Masry were as follows:
05.01.2026
Al Masry
-
Smouha
2:0
22.10.2025
Al Masry
-
Smouha
0:0
27.02.2025
Smouha
-
Al Masry
0:3
01.08.2024
Smouha
-
Al Masry
1:0
05.03.2024
Al Masry
-
Smouha
2:0
Latest results of Al Masry
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | ZED | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 30 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 17 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
