Sobradinho vs Brasília – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
61
Corner kicks
80
Total shots
133
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
72
Corner kicks
80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Sobradinho
73.4%
Draw
18.5%
Brasília
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 22.8% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 21.9% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sobradinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sobradinho's performance.
  • Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasília might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sobradinho that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasília could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sobradinho - Brasília Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.47)
    4.91
    (3.98)
    11.32
    (5.87)
    9.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2).
    • Sobradinho has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brasília is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Sobradinho is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sobradinho won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sobradinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Sobradinho
    22.02.2026 Samambaia - Sobradinho 3:0
    11.02.2026 Real Brasilia - Sobradinho 0:3
    07.02.2026 Sobradinho - Gama 0:1
    25.01.2026 Sobradinho - ARUC 2:1
    Latest results of Brasília
    22.02.2026 Brasília - Real Brasilia 0:2
    07.02.2026 Samambaia - Brasília 4:1
    31.01.2026 ARUC - Brasília 0:1
    25.01.2026 Brasília - Ceilândia 1:2
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 972015:41123
    2Samambaia962121:51620
    3Sobradinho952211:8317
    4Ceilandia951317:12516
    5Capital943219:10915
    6Brasiliense943213:7615
    7Real Brasilia931511:13-210
    8Paranoa92078:24-166
    9Brasilia91084:19-153
    10ARUC91083:20-173

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)