Avangard Omsk vs Sochi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
04/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3123
Shooting PCT
16.13% (5/31)8.7% (2/23)
Blocked Shots
208
Goalkeeper Saves
2126
Saves PCT
91.3% (21/23)83.87% (26/31)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)50% (1/2)
Hits
3023
Faceoffs Won
2834
Faceoffs %
45.1654.84
Giveaways
37
Takeaways
17
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 05:02, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
  • 12:10, 0 - 1, Guskov M. (G), Kagarlitsky D. (A), Ellis M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 11:59, 1 - 1, Volkov A. (G), Yakupov N. (A), Chistyakov S. (A2)
  • 13:41, Cecconi J. (2 min),
  • 14:08, 1 - 2, Guskov M. (G), Ellis M. (A), Lee C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (4 - 0)
  • 08:58, Volkov A. (2 min),
  • 09:09, 2 - 2, Okulov K. (G), Poturalski A. (A), Sharipzyanov D. (A2)
  • 11:16, 3 - 2, Poturalski A. (G), Chistyakov S. (A), McLeod M. (A2)
  • 13:29, 4 - 2, Blazhiyevsky A. (G), Ponomaryov V. (A), Rashevsky D. (A2)
  • 14:40, Cecconi J. (2 min),
  • 19:09, 5 - 2, Lajoie M. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avangard Omsk
76%
Draw
12.5%
Sochi
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.2% 13.9% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6% 14.2% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avangard Omsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Avangard Omsk - Sochi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.33)
    7.57
    (6.79)
    8.14
    (6.37)
    6.1%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Avangard Omsk - Sochi?
  • Users Predictions: Sochi will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sochi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 4.
    • Avangard is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sochi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Avangard has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Avangard is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 76:46. (average 3.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avangard won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:17. (average 4.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avangard Omsk - Sochi were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Sochi - Avangard Omsk 2:3
    04.12.2024 Avangard Omsk - Sochi 6:0
    21.12.2023 Avangard Omsk - Sochi 8:3
    04.11.2023 Sochi - Avangard Omsk 2:3
    04.08.2023 Sochi - Avangard Omsk 3:1
    Latest results of Avangard Omsk
    Latest results of Sochi
    30.11.2025 Amur Khabarovsk - Sochi 0:1
    25.11.2025 Sochi - Lada Togliatti 3:5
    22.11.2025 Sochi - Sibir Novosibirsk 1:2
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 58299515152:11281
    2Cherepovets ✔ 59279419175:15876
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 57295716208:13975
    4Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 58249619167:15572
    5CSKA Moscow57283818141:12670
    6Dynamo Moscow572210421155:14368
    7SKA St. Petersburg56227720160:14765
    8Spartak Moscow57245622166:17164
    9Shanghai581551127144:19151
    10Lada59152735133:20641
    11Sochi56142832115:19940


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 5635858224:15091
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 57319413194:13584
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 57325515175:13879
    4Yekaterinburg57257421171:14168
    5Salavat Ufa56236423147:14162
    6Niznekamsk58227326148:16161
    7Tractor Chelyabinsk57234624179:17860
    8Novosibirsk591213727141:17757
    9Khabarovsk58174730132:16349
    10Barys Astana591351031131:17446
    11Vladivostok561141031123:17640

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)