Ashlyn Krueger vs Sofia Kenin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open
Tennis WTA US Open Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumHBO Max, HBO Max
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaHBO Max
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaEurosport 2, HBO Max
croatiaCroatiaHBO Max
czech-republicCzech-republicEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
finlandFinlandEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
franceFranceEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
germanyGermanyEurosport 1, Eurosport 2
hungaryHungaryEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
italyItalyEurosport 2
moldovaMoldovaHBO Max
montenegroMontenegroHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsHBO Max
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaHBO Max
norwayNorwayEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
polandPolandEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
portugalPortugalEurosport 1, Eurosport 2
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
serbiaSerbiaHBO Max
sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
swedenSwedenEurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1, Eurosport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
122
Double Faults
87
1st Serve Percentage
68%65%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (41/58)63% (39/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (11/27)38% (13/34)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)50% (7/14)
Average 1st Serve Speed
168 km/h143 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
154 km/h134 km/h
1st Return Points Won
39% (24/62)33% (19/58)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (21/34)59% (16/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (7/14)56% (5/9)
Winners
2916
Unforced Errors
3738
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
61% (51/84)53% (51/96)
Return Points Won
47% (45/96)39% (33/84)
Total Points Won
53% (96/180)47% (84/180)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)53% (8/15)
Return Games Won
47% (7/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)
Distance Covered (metres)
15061292

Chances of winning


Ashlyn Krueger
46.8%		Sofia Kenin
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ashlyn Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Sofia Kenin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashlyn Krueger than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashlyn Krueger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sofia Kenin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↑
    (1.91)
    		1.79 ↓
    (1.91)    		 4.7%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kenin will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kenin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Krueger is ranked WTA: 35. Kenin is ranked WTA: 29.
    • Krueger has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kenin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kenin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Krueger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Sofia Kenin 0:2
    02.05.2024 Sofia Kenin - Ashlyn Krueger 1:2
    Latest results of Ashlyn Krueger
    12.08.2025 Jasmine Paolini - Ashlyn Krueger 2:0 ✺
    10.08.2025 Anastasija Sevastova - Ashlyn Krueger 1:2 ✺
    29.07.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 0:2 ✺
    02.07.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 0:2 ✺
    30.06.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Mika Stojsavljevic 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    10.08.2025 Sofia Kenin - Varvara Gracheva 1:2 ✺
    29.07.2025 Sofia Kenin - Victoria Mboko 0:2 ✺
    24.07.2025 Taylor Townsend - Sofia Kenin 2:0 ✺
    22.07.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Sofia Kenin 0:2 ✺
    03.07.2025 Sofia Kenin - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)1 : 2
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.2 : 1
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.2 : 0
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.1 : 2
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.2 : 0
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.2 : 1
    5Kostyuk M. (27)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    6Osaka N. (23)Gauff C. (3)2 : 0
    7Anisimova A. (8)Haddad Maia B. (18)2 : 0
    8Alexandrova E. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Vondrousova M.
    2Pegula J. (4)Krejcikova B.2 : 0
    3Muchova K. (11)Osaka N. (23)
    4Anisimova A. (8)Swiatek I. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Pegula J. (4)
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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